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Premiership
Referee: John Beaton
Celtic
S S S S T
0–1
Full-time
Rangers
T S S S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
5 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Rangers 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 +11 +12.2 18
2 Hearts 7 4 1 2 +6 +1.3 13
3 Rangers 6 4 1 1 +3 +2.3 13
4 Dundee 7 3 1 3 +2 -2.2 10
5 St Mirren 7 3 1 3 -1 +0.8 10
6 ST Johnstone 7 2 2 3 -1 +0.2 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 -1 -3.5 8
8 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 -2 +2.4 8
9 Dundee United 7 2 2 3 -2 -1.3 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 -3 +1.2 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 -3 -4.4 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 -9 -8.9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. May -26 Celtic – Rangers 3–1 1. Mar -26 Rangers – Celtic 2–2 3. Jan -26 Celtic – Rangers 1–3 31. Aug -25 Rangers – Celtic 0–0 4. May -25 Rangers – Celtic 1–1

Match report

Celtic Rangers
4′
🟨 Emmanuel Fernandez
5′
🟨 Derek McInnes
33′
⚽ Ryan Naderi 0–1
Kasper Hogh 🔁
↦ Luke McCowan
45′
Half-time 0–1
57′
🟨 Min-su Kim
James Forrest 🔁
↦ Benjamin Nygren
63′
Haissem Hassan 🔁
↦ Kieran Tierney
71′
Sebastian Tounekti 🔁
↦ Camilo Duran
71′
71′
🔁 Findlay Curtis
↦ Min-su Kim
72′
🔁 Badredine Bouanani
↦ Djeidi Gassama
Callum McGregor 🟨
73′
Sebastian Tounekti 🟨
74′
75′
ℹ️ Olwethu Makhanya
VAR: Goal cancelled
76′
🔁 Ben Godfrey
↦ James Penrice
88′
🟨 Badredine Bouanani
88′
🔁 Tochi Chukwuani
↦ Dan Neil
89′
🔁 Cameron Devlin
↦ Kevin Kelsy
Shumaira Mheuka 🔁
↦ Liam Scales
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Celtic

3-4-3
1 V. Sinisalo G
6 A. Trusty D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
51 Colby Donovan M
22 M. Baur M
42 C. McGregor M
63 K. Tierney M
14 L. McCowan F
11 C. Durán F
8 B. Nygren F
Bench (9)
23 H. Hassan
47 D. Murray
49 J. Forrest
29 Shumaira Mheuka
26 S. Johnstone
9 K. Høgh
56 A. Ralston
17 S. Tounekti
21 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain

Coach: M. O'Neill

Rangers

4-4-2
1 I. Pandur G
21 D. Sterling D
37 E. Fernandez D
24 O. Makhanya D
29 J. Penrice D
10 Minsu Kim M
6 D. Neil M
43 N. Raskin M
23 D. Gassama M
20 R. Naderi F
19 K. Kelsy F
Bench (9)
26 B. Bouanani
42 T. Chukwuani
52 Findlay Curtis
14 C. Devlin
22 V. Dragojević
4 B. Godfrey
31 L. Kelly
2 R. McCrorie
28 B. Miovski

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
🔒
U
3,62
🔒
B ✓
3,10
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,17
🔒
U1,5 ✓
5,00
🔒
O2,5
1,53
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,38
🔒
O3,5
2,33
🔒
U3,5 ✓
1,56
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,46
🔒
BLS nei ✓
2,55
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.