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Champions League
Referee: Sandro Schärer
Club Brugge
S S T S S
2–3
Full-time
Aston Villa
S S T T U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

1,53 xG 3,22
64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 21
7 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Mar -25 Aston Villa – Club Brugge 3–0 4. Mar -25 Club Brugge – Aston Villa 1–3 6. Nov -24 Club Brugge – Aston Villa 1–0

Match report

Club Brugge Aston Villa
9′
🟨 Ian Maatsen
11′
⚽ John McGinn 0–1
Pau Torres
1–1 Hugo Vetlesen ⚽
Jan Virgili Tenas
19′
22′
⚽ Emiliano Buendía 1–2
João Gomes
43′
⚽ Nicolas Jackson 1–3
Pau Torres
Hugo Siquet 🔁
↦ Kyriani Sabbe
45′
Half-time 1–3
Hans Vanaken 🟨
48′
Joaquin Seys ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
59′
2–3 Nicolo Tresoldi ⚽
61′
Jan Virgili Tenas 🟨
62′
68′
🔁 Lamare Bogarde
↦ Aaron Wan-Bissaka
68′
🔁 Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
↦ Emiliano Buendía
68′
🔁 Ross Barkley
↦ Boubacar Kamara
Cheveyo Tsawa 🔁
↦ Hans Vanaken
77′
Félix Lemaréchal 🔁
↦ Hugo Vetlesen
77′
78′
🟨 John McGinn
81′
🔁 Tammy Abraham
↦ Nicolas Jackson
Romeo Vermant 🔁
↦ Freddie Potts
86′
Mamadou Diakhon 🔁
↦ Jan Virgili Tenas
86′
Romeo Vermant 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 João Gomes
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
1 Y. Sommer G
64 K. Sabbe D
3 Lee Han-Beom D
44 B. Mechele D
65 J. Seys D
8 F. Potts M
20 H. Vanaken M
9 Carlos Forbs M
10 H. Vetlesen M
11 Jan Virgili M
7 N. Tresoldi F
Bench (12)
54 S. Coulibaly
67 M. Diakhon
29 N. Jackers
80 F. Lemaréchal
27 W. Mike
41 H. Siquet
58 J. Spileers
16 C. Tsawa
81 Argus Vanden Driessche
77 A. Vasovic
17 R. Vermant
62 L. Audoor

Coach: I. Leko

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Suzuki G
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
3 V. Lindelöf D
14 Pau Torres D
22 I. Maatsen D
8 B. Kamara M
35 João Gomes M
7 J. McGinn M
10 E. Buendía M
53 George Hemmings M
11 N. Jackson F
Bench (10)
42 J. Wright
13 M. Ruggeri
5 T. Mings
19 I. Mbaye
17 A. Garnacho
26 L. Bogarde
40 M. Bizot
6 R. Barkley
47 Alysson Edward
18 T. Abraham

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,52
🔒
U
3,60
🔒
B ✓
2,70
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,20
🔒
U1,5
4,50
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,67
🔒
U2,5
2,22
🔒
O3,5 ✓
2,62
🔒
U3,5
1,46
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,53
🔒
BLS nei
2,40
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Sandro Schärer · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.