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Referee: Sven Wolfensberger

S U T T S

1–3

Full-time

T T S T T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,7

4,0

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

2,2

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,3

xG conceded Pro

This season — Super League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

50%

38%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

75%

Both score Ø 69%

75%

63%

Average goals

3,8

3,9

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,6

xG conceded Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%

10 Shots 24

2 Shots on target 9

4 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 7

0 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 4. · St. Gallen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	8	7	1	0	+16	+2.5	22
2	Young Boys	9	5	4	0	+13	+5.5	19
3	Sion	9	6	1	2	+9	+4.2	19
4	Basel	8	4	1	3	+2	-0.5	13
5	Luzern	9	3	3	3	-1	-2.8	12
6	Zurich	9	3	2	4	-6	-5.0	11
7	Servette	9	3	1	5	-2	+1.0	10
8	St. Gallen	8	3	1	4	-5	+4.2	10
9	Thun	9	3	1	5	-8	-5.2	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	-11	+3.1	8
11	Vaduz	9	2	0	7	-3	-3.6	6
12	Lausanne	8	1	3	4	-4	-3.4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	5	4	1	0	+10	+2.0	13
2	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+5	+3.5	11
3	Sion	5	3	1	1	+4	+4.8	10
4	Luzern	5	3	0	2	+2	+2.9	9
5	Vaduz	4	2	0	2	+3	+0.3	6
6	Zurich	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.2	6
7	Servette	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.5	4
8	St. Gallen	4	1	1	2	-3	+4.0	4
9	Grasshoppers	4	1	1	2	-4	+3.5	4
10	Basel	4	1	0	3	-2	-1.1	3
11	Lausanne	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.1	2
12	Thun	4	0	1	3	-9	-2.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	4	3	1	0	+4	+0.6	10
2	Lugano	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.5	9
3	Sion	4	3	0	1	+5	-0.6	9
4	Thun	5	3	0	2	+1	-3.2	9
5	Young Boys	4	2	2	0	+8	+2.0	8
6	Servette	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.6	6
7	St. Gallen	4	2	0	2	-2	+0.2	6
8	Zurich	5	1	2	2	-5	-4.8	5
9	Lausanne	4	1	1	2	-2	-3.2	4
10	Grasshoppers	5	1	1	3	-7	-0.5	4
11	Luzern	4	0	3	1	-3	-5.7	3
12	Vaduz	5	0	0	5	-6	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. May -26 Basel – St. Gallen 1–3 8. Mar -26 St. Gallen – Basel 3–0 30. Nov -25 Basel – St. Gallen 0–0 26. Jul -25 St. Gallen – Basel 2–1 22. Feb -25 St. Gallen – Basel 2–2

Match report

Basel St. Gallen

9′

⚽ Aliou Balde 0–1

Clément Michelin 🟨

21′

26′

🟨 Aliou Balde

Jonas harder 🟨

31′

42′

🟨 Enrico Maaßen

1–1 Žan Celar ⚽

43′

Ludwig Thorell 🔁

↦ Jonas harder

45′

45′

🔁 Joel Ruiz

↦ Jozo Stanić

Half-time 1–1

61′

🔁 Nevio Scherrer

↦ Aliou Balde

62′

🔁 Carlo Boukhalfa

↦ Betim Fazliji

Moussa Cisse 🔁

↦ Clément Michelin

64′

65′

⚽ Christian Witzig 1–2

Carlo Boukhalfa

Aaron Malouda 🔁

↦ Philip Otele

71′

Kazeem Olaigbe 🟨

75′

78′

🔁 Diego Besio

↦ Andrin Hunziker

giacomo koloto 🔁

↦ Keigo Tsunemoto

81′

85′

⚽ Carlo Boukhalfa 1–3

86′

🔁 Tom Gaal

↦ Hugo Vandermersch

Xherdan Shaqiri 🟨

92′

Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Basel

4-3-3

13

M. Salvi G

6

K. Tsunemoto D

24

F. Daniliuc D

55

A. Victory D

22

C. Michelin D

44

J. Harder M

10

X. Shaqiri M

5

Metinho M

11

K. Olaigbe F

9

Ž. Celar F

7

P. Otele F

Bench (9)

37 G. Koloto

41 J. Doucoure

29 M. Cissé

8 L. Małachowski Thorell

17 A. Malouda

4 B. Omeragić

27 K. Rüegg

3 N. Vouilloz

49 Renato Widmer DâAutilia

Coach: Luigi Nocentini

St. Gallen

3-5-2

1

L. Zigi G

3

C. Kleine-Bekel D

4

J. Stanić D

36

C. Okoroji D

7

C. Witzig M

10

L. Daschner M

64

M. Stevanovic M

23

B. Fazliji M

28

H. Vandermersch M

9

A. Hunziker F

14

A. Balde F

Bench (9)

25 L. Watkowiak

31 D. Besio

11 C. Boukhalfa

20 L. Frokaj

26 T. Gaal

68 M. Heydari

47 E. Owusu

74 J. Ruiz

70 N. Scherrer

Coach: E. Maaßen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H

2,46

🔒

Betano 2,52 Pinnacle 2,52 Bet365 2,50 1xBet 2,46 Marathonbet 2,46 SBO 2,41 Betfair 2,40 BetVictor 2,40 William Hill 2,40

U

3,86

🔒

Pinnacle 4,17 Bet365 4,00 Betfair 4,00 1xBet 3,86 Marathonbet 3,86 Betano 3,85 BetVictor 3,80 William Hill 3,80 SBO 3,65

B ✓

2,42

🔒

Pinnacle 2,52 Betfair 2,45 1xBet 2,44 Marathonbet 2,44 Betano 2,42 Bet365 2,40 BetVictor 2,40 William Hill 2,40 SBO 2,38

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,07

🔒

U1,5

6,50

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,33

🔒

U2,5

2,88

🔒

O3,5 ✓

1,94

🔒

U3,5

1,80

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

1,33

🔒

BLS nei

3,00

🔒

Recent matches

13. Sep SL 1 week ago

6. Sep SL 2 weeks ago

3. Sep SL 2 weeks ago

29. Aug SL 3 weeks ago

22. Aug SL 4 weeks ago

Referee

Sven Wolfensberger · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,7 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

30,7 / match

Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.