Bundesliga
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Schalke 04
Elversberg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | +0.6 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | +3.3 | 10 |
| 3 |
Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | +1.8 | 10 |
| 4 |
Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | +1.6 | 7 |
| 5 |
Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | +0.6 | 7 |
| 6 |
Mainz
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | +0.5 | 7 |
| 7 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +0 | -1.8 | 7 |
| 8 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | +2.9 | 6 |
| 9 |
Elversberg
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -0.6 | 6 |
| 10 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -0.4 | 5 |
| 11 |
Schalke 04
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.6 | 4 |
| 12 |
FC Koln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | +0.1 | 4 |
| 13 |
Hoffenheim
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -0.1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -3.3 | 3 |
| 15 |
Hamburg
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 | -0.6 | 3 |
| 16 |
Paderborn
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -0.5 | 1 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 | +0.4 | 1 |
| 18 |
M'gladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | -2.9 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Karius
G
T. Becker
D
N. Katić
D
H. Kuruçay
D
J. Dina Ebimbe
M
S. El-Faouzi
M
S. Tanaka
M
R. Gosens
M
K. Karaman
M
A. Aouchiche
M
E. Džeko
F
Coach: M. Muslić
N. Kristof
G
J. Gyamerah
D
L. Pinckert
D
M. Rohr
D
L. Günther
D
F. Keidel
M
Ł. Poręba
M
L. Petkov
M
Noah Darvich
M
William Cole Campbell
M
D. Mokwa
F
Coach: V. Wagner
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Union Berlin
Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Bayern Munich
Augsburg
Schalke 04
Hallescher FC
Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Braunschweig
Robin Braun · 13 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.