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Bundesliga
Referee: Robin Braun
Schalke 04
S S T U S
0–0
Full-time
Elversberg
S S S S T
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Elversberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,3
5,0
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 11. · Elversberg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 +7 +0.6 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 +12 +3.3 10
3 Freiburg 4 3 1 0 +9 +1.8 10
4 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 +5 +1.6 7
5 Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 +5 +0.6 7
6 Mainz 4 2 1 1 +4 +0.5 7
7 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 +0 -1.8 7
8 RB Leipzig 4 2 0 2 +4 +2.9 6
9 Elversberg 3 2 0 1 +1 -0.6 6
10 Ein Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 -1 -0.4 5
11 Schalke 04 3 1 1 1 -1 -1.6 4
12 FC Koln 4 1 1 2 -3 +0.1 4
13 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 -1 -0.1 3
14 Stuttgart 4 1 0 3 -3 -3.3 3
15 Hamburg 4 1 0 3 -11 -0.6 3
16 Paderborn 3 0 1 2 -4 -0.5 1
17 Union Berlin 4 0 1 3 -13 +0.4 1
18 M'gladbach 4 0 0 4 -10 -2.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Elversberg
26′
🟨 Felix Keidel
36′
🟨 Noah Darvich
45′
🔁 Maurice Krattenmacher
↦ Noah Darvich
Half-time 0–0
51′
🔁 Luca Sirch
↦ Jan Gyamerah
Hassan Kurucay 🟨
62′
Maximilian Wöber 🔁
↦ Timo Becker
62′
Moussa Sylla 🔁
↦ Edin Džeko
62′
Vitalie Becker 🔁
↦ Robin Gosens
70′
Hwang Hee-Chan 🔁
↦ Adil Aouchiche
70′
76′
🔁 Noel Futkeu
↦ David Mokwa
76′
🔁 Nicholas Mickelson
↦ Lasse Günther
Ron Schallenberg 🔁
↦ Satoshi Tanaka
78′
87′
🔁 Francis Onyeka
↦ Cole Campbell
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-4-2-1
1 L. Karius G
5 T. Becker D
25 N. Katić D
4 H. Kuruçay D
29 J. Dina Ebimbe M
23 S. El-Faouzi M
13 S. Tanaka M
8 R. Gosens M
19 K. Karaman M
24 A. Aouchiche M
10 E. Džeko F
Bench (9)
7 Hwang Hee-Chan
38 L. Vozar
22 K. Müller
9 M. Sylla
6 R. Schallenberg
39 M. Wöber
20 J. Adamu
43 M. Ayhan
33 Vitalie Becker

Coach: M. Muslić

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
30 J. Gyamerah D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
21 L. Günther D
43 F. Keidel M
8 Ł. Poręba M
25 L. Petkov M
10 Noah Darvich M
39 William Cole Campbell M
42 D. Mokwa F
Bench (9)
6 A. Condé
7 M. Krattenmacher
3 F. Le Joncour
2 N. Mickelson
40 Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka
24 L. Schnellbacher
26 L. Sirch
28 T. Boss
9 N. Futkeu

Coach: V. Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,94
U ✓
3,80
B
3,70
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,13
U1,5 ✓
5,50
O2,5
1,49
U2,5 ✓
2,50
O3,5
2,30
U3,5 ✓
1,65
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,44
BLS nei ✓
2,57

Referee

Robin Braun · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.