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Eliteserien

Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Valerenga

S T U T S

1–1

Full-time

Fredrikstad

S S T U S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

6,2

3,3

Scored

3,5

2,5

Conceded

2,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

30%

40%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

60%

55%

Both score Ø 58%

55%

60%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

2,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

16 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 6

5 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Valerenga 12. · Fredrikstad 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	20	16	2	2	+35	+27.3	50
2	Viking	20	15	2	3	+31	+15.7	47
3	Molde	21	11	3	7	+12	+11.5	36
4	Tromso	20	10	5	5	+10	+7.2	35
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	+9	-1.6	33
6	Lillestrom	20	10	2	8	+2	+3.9	32
7	Fredrikstad	20	8	3	9	-7	-9.7	27
8	Brann	20	8	2	10	+6	+1.9	26
9	Sarpsborg 08	21	6	7	8	-5	-0.3	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	7	4	10	-10	-11.4	25
11	Ham-Kam	20	6	5	9	-14	-5.4	23
12	Valerenga	20	6	4	10	-9	-3.3	22
13	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	-13	-12.8	21
14	Sandefjord	20	5	5	10	-9	-9.1	20
15	Kristiansund	21	5	4	12	-19	-10.2	19
16	Start	20	4	4	12	-19	-3.8	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	9	9	0	0	+25	+8.5	27
2	Bodo/Glimt	10	9	0	1	+25	+20.9	27
3	Rosenborg	11	7	2	2	+14	+4.7	23
4	Molde	11	7	1	3	+11	+6.0	22
5	Tromso	10	6	3	1	+11	+10.8	21
6	Fredrikstad	10	5	2	3	+2	-1.3	17
7	KFUM Oslo	11	5	2	4	+0	-7.1	17
8	Ham-Kam	10	5	2	3	-2	-2.2	17
9	Brann	10	5	0	5	+3	+4.6	15
10	Lillestrom	10	5	0	5	+2	+3.9	15
11	Sarpsborg 08	10	4	3	3	+0	+2.8	15
12	Kristiansund	10	4	2	4	-1	-6.6	14
13	Valerenga	10	4	1	5	+1	-2.0	13
14	Start	10	3	3	4	-3	+1.8	12
15	Aalesund	11	2	6	3	-4	-2.1	12
16	Sandefjord	10	2	5	3	-3	-4.8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	2	1	+10	+6.4	23
2	Viking	11	6	2	3	+6	+7.2	20
3	Lillestrom	10	5	2	3	+0	-0.0	17
4	Molde	10	4	2	4	+1	+5.5	14
5	Tromso	10	4	2	4	-1	-3.6	14
6	Brann	10	3	2	5	+3	-2.8	11
7	Rosenborg	10	3	1	6	-5	-6.3	10
8	Sarpsborg 08	11	2	4	5	-5	-3.1	10
9	Fredrikstad	10	3	1	6	-9	-8.4	10
10	Sandefjord	10	3	0	7	-6	-4.3	9
11	Aalesund	10	2	3	5	-9	-10.7	9
12	Valerenga	10	2	3	5	-10	-1.4	9
13	KFUM Oslo	10	2	2	6	-10	-4.3	8
14	Ham-Kam	10	1	3	6	-12	-3.2	6
15	Kristiansund	11	1	2	8	-18	-3.6	5
16	Start	10	1	1	8	-16	-5.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.