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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Gent
S U S U S
2–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,5
3,2
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,38 xG 0,65
38% Possession 62%
13 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
1 Corners 5
14 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Gent 9. · Club Brugge 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Charleroi 5 5 0 0 +8 +4.5 15
2 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +7 +5.4 9
3 Standard 4 2 2 0 +3 -0.4 8
4 Waregem 3 2 1 0 +5 +1.9 7
5 Genk 4 2 1 1 +4 +5.3 7
6 Antwerp 3 2 1 0 +4 +2.2 7
7 Lommel SK 4 2 1 1 +4 7
8 Lommel United 4 2 1 1 +4 -0.5 7
9 Gent 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.5 6
10 St. Gilloise 2 1 1 0 +4 +0.9 4
11 St Truiden 3 0 3 0 +0 -1.6 3
12 Anderlecht 2 1 0 1 +0 +2.9 3
13 Beveren 4 1 0 3 -8 -6.2 3
14 Cercle Brugge 5 0 2 3 -3 -0.2 2
15 Mechelen 4 0 2 2 -4 -1.0 2
16 RAAL La Louviere 4 0 1 3 -4 -3.0 1
17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 0 0 3 -6 -3.5 0
18 Kortrijk 3 0 0 3 -8 -3.4 0
19 Westerlo 4 0 0 4 -13 -4.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Club Brugge
Kyrell Wilson 🟨
16′
1–0 J. Vergara
T. Araujo
38′
40′
H. Vanaken 1–1
C. Forbs
Half-time 1–1
M. Volckaert 🔁
↦ K. Wilson
46′
Leonardo Lopes 🟨
51′
E. H. Seck 🔁
↦ M. Sonko
66′
I. Cisse 🔁
↦ J. Vergara
66′
66′
🔁 F. Lemarechal
↦ H. Vetlesen
66′
🔁 J. Virgili
↦ M. Diakhon
67′
🟨 Freddie Potts
Siebe Van Der Heyden 🟨
70′
70′
🟥 Carlos Forbs
75′
🟨 Brandon Mechele
Ibrahima Cisse 🟨
81′
A. Omgba 🔁
↦ L. Benes
82′
M. Balikwisha 🔁
↦ M. Delorge
82′
82′
🔁 H. Siquet
↦ K. Sabbe
2–1 I. Cisse
M. Volckaert
85′
86′
🔁 R. Vermant
↦ F. Potts
87′
🟨 Joaquin Seys
Ibrahima Cisse 🟥
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-2-1
33 D. Roef G
5 M. Ngom D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van Der Heyden D
14 K. Wilson M
17 M. Delorge M
22 L. Lopes M
20 T. Araujo M
8 L. Benes F
11 M. Sonko F
47 J. Vergara F
Bench (9)
30 K. Peersman
56 M. Diallo
3 M. Paskotsi
57 M. Volckaert
10 A. Omgba
37 A. Kadri
7 M. Balikwisha
59 E. H. Seck
75 I. Cisse

Coach: Rik De Mil

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
1 Y. Sommer G
64 K. Sabbe D
3 Lee Han-Beom D
44 B. Mechele D
65 J. Seys D
8 F. Potts M
20 H. Vanaken M
9 C. Forbs M
10 H. Vetlesen M
67 M. Diakhon M
7 N. Tresoldi F
Bench (9)
29 N. Jackers
41 H. Siquet
93 W. Verlinden
54 S. Coulibaly
16 C. Tsawa
80 F. Lemarechal
17 R. Vermant
77 A. Vasovic
11 J. Virgili

Coach: Ivan Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,15
U
3,90
B
1,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.