Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Serie A

Referee: Maurizio Mariani

Parma

T T T U T

2–1

Full-time

Genoa

T T T U S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Parma Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,32 xG 0,76

42% Possession 58%

5 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Parma 18. · Genoa 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	5	4	1	0	+11	+5.8	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	+7	+5.9	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	+5	+1.7	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	+3	-2.8	12
5	Como	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.0	10
6	Milan	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.3	8
7	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.6	7
8	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+2	+3.2	7
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	+1	+2.5	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.4	7
11	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	+0	-2.6	6
12	Lecce	4	2	0	2	-2	-4.8	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.5	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.3	4
15	Monza	5	1	1	3	-4	+2.5	4
16	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	-6	+0.4	4
17	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-3	+0.2	2
18	Parma	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.5	1
19	Genoa	4	0	1	3	-6	-1.5	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	-9	-4.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	+6	+2.0	9
2	Roma	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.0	7
3	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
4	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.6	6
5	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.2	4
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
8	Como	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
9	Monza	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.6	3
10	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.8	3
11	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
12	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
13	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-3	-4.3	3
14	Bologna	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.9	2
15	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
16	Udinese	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.5	1
17	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-4	+0.5	1
18	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-5	-0.3	1
19	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.0	0
20	Venezia	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lazio	3	3	0	0	+4	-0.4	9
2	Cagliari	3	3	0	0	+3	-0.8	9
3	Como	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
4	Roma	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.8	6
5	Milan	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.1	5
6	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.9	4
7	Napoli	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.6	4
8	Inter	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.9	4
9	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.3	4
10	Lecce	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.5	3
11	Juventus	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
12	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.9	3
13	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.1	3
14	Sassuolo	3	0	1	2	-2	+2.0	1
15	Monza	3	0	1	2	-4	+1.9	1
16	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
18	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.7	0
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0
20	Parma	2	0	0	2	-3	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Jan -26 Parma – Genoa 0–0 19. Oct -25 Genoa – Parma 0–0 12. Jan -25 Genoa – Parma 1–0 4. Nov -24 Parma – Genoa 0–1 5. Feb -23 Parma – Genoa 2–0

Match report

Parma Genoa

D. Drobnic 🟨

9′

14′

🟨 S. Otoa

1–0 D. Romero ⚽

E. B. Toure

38′

44′

🟨 A. Marcandalli

Half-time 1–0

N. Elphege 🔁

↦ D. Romero

56′

P. Almqvist 🔁

↦ E. B. Toure

56′

60′

🔁 S. El Shaarawy

↦ K. Ehizibue

60′

🔁 D. Puczka

↦ S. Otoa

G. Fabbian 🔁

↦ S. Lontani

67′

69′

🔁 L. Colombo

↦ T. Baldanzi

70′

⚽ M. Osmajic 1–1

L. Colombo

2–1 P. Almqvist ⚽

N. Elphege

80′

S. Britschgi 🔁

↦ Diego Carlos

81′

C. Ordonez 🔁

↦ V. Sierro

81′

85′

🔁 Vitinha

↦ D. Sow

85′

🔁 H. J. Traore

↦ Junior Messias

E. Delprato 🟨

85′

92′

🟨 M. E. Ellertsson

M. Troilo 🟨

93′

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Parma

3-4-2-1

Edoardo Corvi G

Enrico Delprato D

Diego Carlos D

Mariano Troilo D

Dominik Drobnic M

Vincent Sierro M

Mandela Keita M

Emanuele Valeri M

Simone Lontani F

El Bilal Touré F

David Romero F

Bench (13)

30 Giovanni Daffara

22 Simone Ghidotti

27 Sascha Britschgi

3 Abdoulaye Ndiaye

47 Abdou-Salam Konate

32 Christian Ordoñez

8 Benjamin Cremaschi

80 Giovanni Fabbian

29 Franco Carboni

7 Ousmane Diallo

23 Nesta Elphege

20 Matija Frigan

11 Pontus Almqvist

Coach: Carlos Cuesta

Genoa

3-4-2-1

Justin Bijlow G

Alessandro Marcandalli D

Leo Østigård D

Sebastian Otoa D

Kingsley Ehizibue M

Morten Frendrup M

Djibril Sow M

Mikael Ellertsson M

Junior Messias F

Tommaso Baldanzi F

Milutin Osmajić F

Bench (13)

99 Franz Stolz

39 Daniele Sommariva

31 David Puczka

2 Mario Mitaj

16 Cody Drameh

4 Alexsandro Amorim

71 Samuel Wiafe

11 Franz-Ethan Meichtry

25 Hamed Junior Traorè

20 Stefano Sabelli

29 Lorenzo Colombo

9 Vitinha

92 Stephan El Shaarawy

Coach: Daniele De Rossi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

3,10

🔒

1xBet 3,22 Pinnacle 3,21 Marathonbet 3,12 Bet365 3,10 Betano 3,10 Betfair 3,10 BetVictor 3,00 William Hill 3,00 SBO 2,78

3,00

🔒

1xBet 3,10 BetVictor 3,10 Marathonbet 3,02 Pinnacle 3,01 Bet365 3,00 Betano 3,00 Betfair 2,90 William Hill 2,90 SBO 2,84

2,55

🔒

1xBet 2,61 Betfair 2,60 Pinnacle 2,60 SBO 2,56 Betano 2,55 Marathonbet 2,54 Bet365 2,50 BetVictor 2,45 William Hill 2,45

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,47

🔒

U1,5

2,70

🔒

O2,5 ✓

2,52

🔒

U2,5

1,53

🔒

O3,5

4,60

🔒

U3,5 ✓

1,15

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

2,00

🔒

BLS nei

1,75

🔒

Recent matches

14. Sep SA 6 days ago

6. Sep SA 2 weeks ago

1. Sep CI 2 weeks ago

29. Aug SA 3 weeks ago

22. Aug SA 4 weeks ago

Referee

Maurizio Mariani · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,9 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

22,1 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Recent head-to-head meetings

Match report

Line-ups

Parma

Genoa

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee