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Taça de Portugal

FC Serpa

S T S T S

1–2

Full-time

Louletano

S T S T S

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Serpa Louletano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,0

This season — Taça de Portugal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match FC Serpa 33. · Louletano 41. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Atlético CP	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Fafe	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vitória de Sernache	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Salgueiros	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Mafra	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Alcochetense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
9	Portel	1	1	0	0	+8	3
10	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+7	3
11	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
12	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Sacavenense	2	1	0	1	+4	3
16	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Varzim	2	1	0	1	+3	3
20	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
21	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Aljustrelense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Fazendense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Santo Antonio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Real	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Cinfães	2	1	0	1	-3	3
50	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Tirsense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Beira-Mar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Estrela Calheta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
97	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
98	Lajense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
99	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
100	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
101	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
102	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
103	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
104	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
105	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
106	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
107	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
108	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
109	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0
110	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salgueiros	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Alcochetense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+7	3
5	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Sacavenense	2	1	0	1	+4	3
9	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Fazendense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Cinfães	2	1	0	1	-3	3
25	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Mafra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Beira-Mar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
33	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Estrela Calheta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Naval 1893	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Real	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
57	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Portel	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Aljustrelense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Santo Antonio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Tirsense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Lajense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
59	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
60	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
61	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.