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Taça de Portugal

Sacavenense

T S T S

0–1

Full-time

Farense

T S S S T

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sacavenense Farense

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

75%

67%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

5,0

3,2

Scored

3,5

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atlético CP	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Fafe	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Vitória de Sernache	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Salgueiros	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Mafra	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	Alcochetense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
9	Portel	1	1	0	0	+8	3
10	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+7	3
11	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
12	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Varzim	2	1	0	1	+3	3
19	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
20	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Aljustrelense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Fazendense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Santo Antonio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Real	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Tirsense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Beira-Mar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
63	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Lajense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
97	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
98	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
99	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
100	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
101	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
102	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
103	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
104	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
105	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
106	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0
107	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salgueiros	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Alcochetense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+7	3
5	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Fazendense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Mafra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Beira-Mar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
33	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Naval 1893	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Real	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
56	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Portel	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Aljustrelense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Santo Antonio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Tirsense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Lajense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
54	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
56	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
57	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
58	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.