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Pro League
Referee: Nathan Verboomen
Genk
T S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Gent
U S S S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
40%
100%
Points per game
1,6
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
4,0
2,4
Scored
2,4
2,0
Conceded
1,6
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
17 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 9
0 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 10. · Gent 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 7 6 1 0 +21 +1.2 19
2 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 +10 +4.7 18
3 Gent 5 5 0 0 +8 +2.2 15
4 Charleroi 6 5 0 1 +7 +4.5 15
5 Waregem 5 3 2 0 +7 +1.9 11
6 Standard 6 3 2 1 +2 -0.4 11
7 Anderlecht 6 3 1 2 -1 +2.7 10
8 St Truiden 7 2 3 2 +2 +1.0 9
9 Beveren 6 3 0 3 -3 -4.4 9
10 Genk 5 2 2 1 +4 +5.3 8
11 Antwerp 6 2 1 3 -2 -0.4 7
12 Lommel SK 6 2 1 3 -2 7
13 Lommel United 6 2 1 3 -2 -0.5 7
14 Westerlo 7 2 1 4 -7 -4.9 7
15 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 -6 -0.2 3
16 Mechelen 6 0 2 4 -9 -1.0 2
17 RAAL La Louviere 5 0 1 4 -8 -3.0 1
18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 0 1 5 -10 -5.3 1
19 Kortrijk 5 0 0 5 -11 -3.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Gent
10′
Momodou Sonko 0–1
Tiago Araújo
21′
🟨 Momodou Sonko
32′
🟨 Josue Vergara
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg 🔁
↦ Ayumu Yokoyama
45′
Benjamin Tahirovic 🔁
↦ Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
45′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Rafiu Durosinmi
Junya Ito
47′
49′
🟨 Tiago Araújo
Benjamin Tahirovic 🟨
53′
57′
🔁 Leonardo Da Silva Lopes
↦ Kyrell Wilson
66′
🟨 Mathias Delorge
Daan Heymans 🔁
↦ Jeppe Erenbjerg
73′
Jerry Afriyie 🔁
↦ Junya Ito
73′
78′
🟨 Leonardo Da Silva Lopes
Josue Kongolo 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 Abdelkahar Kadri
↦ Mathias Delorge
80′
🔁 Hyllarion Goore
↦ Michel Ange Balikwisha
80′
🔁 El Hadji Seck
↦ Momodou Sonko
86′
🔁 Ibrahima Cisse
↦ Josue Vergara
Aaron Bibout 🔁
↦ Rafiu Durosinmi
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
28 L. Kiaba Mounganga G
20 K. Amaro D
6 M. Smets D
44 J. Kongolo D
18 J. Kayembe D
21 I. Bangoura M
8 B. Heynen M
10 J. Ito M
11 J. Erenbjerg M
30 A. Yokoyama M
17 R. Durosinmi F
Bench (9)
33 J. Afriyie
23 A. Bibout
32 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
38 D. Heymans
4 B. Tahirović
24 N. Sattlberger
5 C. Ravych
25 M. Roganović
1 T. Leysen

Coach: J. Thorup

Gent

3-4-2-1
33 D. Roef G
5 M. Ngom D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
7 M. Balikwisha M
27 T. De Vlieger M
17 M. Delorge-Knieper M
20 Tiago Araújo M
14 Kyrell Wilson M
11 M. Sonko M
47 J. Y. Vergara Ortega F
Bench (9)
30 K. Peersman
3 M. Paskotši
37 A. Kadri
45 B. Goore
39 A. Ayindé
57 M. Volckaert
59 E. Seck
22 Leonardo Lopes
75 I. Cisse

Coach: R. Demil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
U ✓
3,40
B
3,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,25
U1,5
3,50
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
1,96
O3,5
3,20
U3,5 ✓
1,33
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,70
BLS nei
2,05

Referee

Nathan Verboomen · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.