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Eredivisie

Referee: Richard Martens

Twente

S T S S U

1–0

Full-time

Telstar

S S T T U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Telstar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,5

Scored

2,7

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

75%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

22 Shots 3

8 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 8. · Telstar 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	5	5	0	0	+11	+7.1	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+12	+9.1	13
3	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+6	+7.8	11
4	Excelsior	5	3	1	1	+7	+2.4	10
5	For Sittard	5	3	1	1	+2	-6.5	10
6	Go Ahead Eagles	5	2	2	1	+2	-1.2	8
7	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+4	+2.6	7
8	Twente	4	2	1	1	+4	+4.9	7
9	Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	+2	+1.5	7
10	Groningen	5	2	1	2	-1	-1.9	7
11	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	+0	-1.9	5
12	Heerenveen	5	1	2	2	-2	-2.6	5
13	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.6	4
14	Telstar	4	1	1	2	-5	-1.5	4
15	Utrecht	5	0	2	3	-9	-3.0	2
16	Den Haag	5	0	1	4	-8	-6.2	1
17	Willem II	4	0	1	3	-9	-2.9	1
18	Cambuur	5	0	1	4	-12	-6.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.4	6
2	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.9	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+4	+4.6	4
4	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
5	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
6	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	-4.5	3
7	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
8	Heerenveen	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.7	3
9	Feyenoord	2	0	2	0	+0	+3.6	2
10	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.7	2
11	Ajax	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.6	1
12	Nijmegen	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.0	1
13	Willem II	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.9	1
14	Telstar	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.0	1
15	Utrecht	3	0	1	2	-8	-3.9	1
16	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.3	0
17	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.9	0
18	Cambuur	3	0	0	3	-10	-5.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+8	+4.5	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+6	+4.7	9
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+6	+4.2	9
4	Excelsior	3	2	1	0	+7	+3.8	7
5	For Sittard	3	2	1	0	+2	-2.0	7
6	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.0	6
7	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.5	6
8	Twente	3	1	1	1	+2	+3.5	4
9	Zwolle	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
10	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.9	3
11	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
12	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.1	3
13	Heerenveen	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.0	2
14	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	2	1	-3	-2.1	2
15	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.9	1
16	Cambuur	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.5	1
17	Den Haag	3	0	1	2	-4	-4.0	1
18	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -26 Telstar – Twente 1–1 7. Nov -25 Twente – Telstar 0–0 10. Jan -23 Twente – Telstar 3–1

Match report

Twente Telstar

Younes Taha El Idrissi 🟨

23′

Half-time 0–0

46′

🟨 Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson

55′

🟨 Marvin Peersman

61′

🔁 Noach Shenkman

↦ Tyrone Owusu

61′

🔁 Jelani Seedorf

↦ Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson

62′

🔁 Rojendro Oudsten

↦ Gerald Alders

Filip Erik Thorvaldsen 🔁

↦ Daan Rots

62′

🟨 Sem valk

1–0 Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter ⚽

Younes Taha El Idrissi

65′

Robin Propper 🔁

↦ Younes Taha El Idrissi

73′

Thomas Van den Belt 🔁

↦ Aske Emil Berg Adelgaard

73′

74′

🔁 Harrie Kuster

↦ Jeff Hardeveld

Marko Pjaca 🔁

↦ Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter

79′

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1

L. Unnerstall G

B. van Rooij D

M. Bruns D

R. Nijstad D

A. Adelgaard D

R. Zerrouki M

D. Weidmann M

D. Rots M

Y. Taha M

S. Ørjasæter M

W. Weghorst F

Bench (11)

18 Jordy Bawuah

22 R. Pasveer

3 R. Pröpper

2 M. Rosiak

17 F. Thorvaldsen

25 Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink

20 T. van den Belt

37 N. Ünüvar

24 K. Kurowski

16 J. Drommel

7 M. Pjaca

Coach: J. van den Brom

Telstar

3-4-2-1

R. Koeman G

S. Valk D

A. Soualhia D

M. Peersman D

Gerald Alders M

N. Rossen M

T. Owusu M

J. Hardeveld M

Rui Mendes M

P. Brouwer M

N. Þórisson F

Bench (12)

8 E. Demircan

14 H. Kuster

42 A. Martha

13 Finn Mulder

15 N. Nwankwo

28 R. Oudsten

20 D. Reiziger

9 Jelani Seedorf

23 N. Shenkman

21 F. Turay

5 P. Aning

6 Isaiah Ahmed

Coach: H. Brugge

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

1,22

🔒

10Bet 1,27 Dafabet 1,27 Betano 1,26 Superbet 1,26 1xBet 1,25 Bet365 1,25 888Sport 1,25 Pinnacle 1,25 William Hill 1,25 SBO 1,24 Unibet 1,23 Marathonbet 1,23 Betfair 1,22 BetVictor 1,20

6,43

🔒

BetVictor 7,00 Pinnacle 6,87 1xBet 6,81 Dafabet 6,80 Betano 6,60 Superbet 6,60 10Bet 6,50 Unibet 6,40 Marathonbet 6,35 Bet365 6,25 Betfair 6,00 888Sport 6,00 William Hill 6,00 SBO 5,99

9,92

🔒

Betano 12,00 Bet365 11,00 BetVictor 10,50 1xBet 10,30 Pinnacle 10,08 Unibet 10,00 Marathonbet 9,80 Dafabet 9,60 Betfair 9,50 888Sport 9,00 Superbet 8,90 William Hill 8,50 10Bet 7,90 SBO 7,72

Over/under goals

O1,5

1,07

🔒

Betano 1,09 10Bet 1,07 Bet365 1,07 Betfair 1,07 Superbet 1,07 888Sport 1,06 Unibet 1,05 BetVictor 1,05 1xBet 1,03 Marathonbet 1,03

U1,5 ✓

8,40

🔒

Bet365 9,00 Unibet 9,00 888Sport 8,50 BetVictor 8,50 Superbet 8,40 10Bet 8,00 Betfair 8,00 Betano 7,70 1xBet 7,30 Marathonbet 7,30

O2,5

1,28

🔒

Betano 1,29 Betfair 1,29 10Bet 1,28 Bet365 1,28 Superbet 1,28 Pinnacle 1,26 Unibet 1,25 888Sport 1,25 1xBet 1,23 Marathonbet 1,23 BetVictor 1,22

U2,5 ✓

3,46

🔒

BetVictor 3,90 Pinnacle 3,88 Unibet 3,85 Superbet 3,75 10Bet 3,65 Betano 3,65 Bet365 3,60 888Sport 3,60 Betfair 3,50 1xBet 3,44 Marathonbet 3,44

O3,5

1,70

🔒

Betfair 1,75 Betano 1,72 Superbet 1,71 SBO 1,70 10Bet 1,70 1xBet 1,70 888Sport 1,70 Pinnacle 1,69 Marathonbet 1,68 Bet365 1,67 Unibet 1,67 BetVictor 1,64

U3,5 ✓

2,15

🔒

Pinnacle 2,22 1xBet 2,20 Betano 2,18 Unibet 2,18 SBO 2,16 Superbet 2,15 Marathonbet 2,14 10Bet 2,10 Bet365 2,10 BetVictor 2,08 Betfair 2,05 888Sport 2,05

Both teams to score

BLS ja

1,56

🔒