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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

For Sittard

T S T U S

0–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

2,5

3,0

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,44 xG 4,35

28% Possession 72%

4 Shots 26

2 Shots on target 11

0 Blocked shots 8

9 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 15

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match For Sittard 4. · AZ Alkmaar 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.9	6
2	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.5	6
3	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.5	4
4	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.9	4
5	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.6	4
6	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.0	4
7	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.0	4
8	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.9	4
9	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.9	3
10	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.1	3
11	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.8	3
12	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.4	3
13	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
14	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.5	0
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.4	0
16	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.9	0
17	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.5	0
18	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
2	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
3	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.6	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
5	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
6	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
7	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
8	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
9	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
10	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
11	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
12	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0
13	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
14	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
15	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
16	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
17	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0
18	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
2	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
3	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
5	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
7	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
8	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
9	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
11	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
12	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
13	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
14	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
15	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
16	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.6	0
17	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
18	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.