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Europa League
Referee: Jeremie Pignard
Sunderland
T S U S T
1–0
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S S S U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,90 xG 1,49
45% Possession 55%
20 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sunderland AZ Alkmaar
T. Hume 🟨
22′
O. Alderete 🟨
30′
39′
🟨 A. Oufkir
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Weslley Patati
↦ A. Oufkir
D. Ballard 🔁
↦ O. Alderete
52′
59′
🔁 V. Byskov
↦ K. Smit
64′
🟨 Weslley Patati
1–0 E. Le Fee ⚽
66′
T. Meunier 🔁
↦ T. Hume
67′
B. Brobbey 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
67′
N. Angulo 🔁
↦ W. Isidor
67′
N. Mukiele 🟨
72′
76′
🔁 D. Kwakman
↦ J. Clasie
83′
🔁 J. Hornkamp
↦ M. Meerdink
83′
🔁 C. Stengs
↦ L. Schouten
C. Rigg 🔁
↦ K. Danso
84′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
22 Robin Roefs G
20 Nordi Mukiele D
4 Kevin Danso D
15 Omar Alderete D
17 Reinildo Mandava D
34 Granit Xhaka M
27 Noah Sadiki M
32 Trai Hume M
28 Enzo Le Fée M
39 Malick Fofana M
18 Wilson Isidor F
Bench (12)
21 Simon Moore
5 Daniel Ballard
12 Thomas Meunier
13 Luke O'Nien
48 Jenson Jones
6 Dayann Methalie
10 Nilson Angulo
11 Chris Rigg
29 Jules Ahoka
77 Tom Proctor
9 Brian Brobbey
57 Timur Tuterov

Coach: Regis Le Bris

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
28 Jari De Busser G
22 Elijah Dijkstra D
3 Wouter Goes D
4 Lewis Schouten D
5 Mateo Chávez D
8 Jordy Clasie M
6 Peer Koopmeiners M
24 Ayoub Oufkir M
10 Kees Smit M
11 Ro-Zangelo Daal M
9 Mexx Meerdink F
Bench (11)
1 Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro
2 Seiya Maikuma
29 Wesley Hoedt
31 Rion Ichihara
34 Mees De Wit
14 Calvin Stengs
17 Valdemar Byskov
21 Dave Kwakman
7 Weslley Patati
19 Jizz Hornkamp
18 Bendegúz Kovács

Coach: Leeroy Echteld

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
🔒
U
4,50
🔒
B
6,40
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,20
🔒
U1,5 ✓
4,25
🔒
O2,5
1,71
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,16
🔒
O3,5
2,75
🔒
U3,5 ✓
1,43
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,80
🔒
BLS nei ✓
1,93
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jeremie Pignard · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.