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Eredivisie

Referee: Alex Bos

AZ Alkmaar

U U S S S

5–2

Full-time

Go Ahead Eagles

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Go Ahead Eagles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,5

4,2

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,3

Scored

2,7

3,0

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,37 xG 1,66

52% Possession 48%

20 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 1. · Go Ahead Eagles 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+7	+6.8	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+5	+6.3	7
3	Go Ahead Eagles	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.4	7
4	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+4	+5.6	7
5	For Sittard	4	2	1	1	+1	-6.5	7
6	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.2	6
7	Groningen	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.1	6
8	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.6	4
9	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	+0	-1.9	4
10	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.7	4
11	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.1	3
12	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.8	3
13	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
14	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.6	3
15	Utrecht	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.3	1
16	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.5	0
17	Den Haag	3	0	0	3	-7	-3.9	0
18	Cambuur	3	0	0	3	-9	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.9	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+4	+4.6	4
3	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
5	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.0	3
6	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	-4.5	3
7	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
8	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.1	3
9	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
10	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
11	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.7	1
12	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
13	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
14	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
15	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
16	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
17	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0
18	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-7	-4.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.1	6
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.2	6
3	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.0	4
4	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
5	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
7	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.9	3
8	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
9	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
10	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
11	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.1	3
12	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
13	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
14	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.9	1
15	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
16	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.6	0
17	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0
18	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.