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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Telstar

U S S S T

0–4

Full-time

Ajax

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Telstar Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,3

4,7

Scored

2,2

3,0

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,13 xG 2,13

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Telstar 13. · Ajax 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	4	4	0	0	+10	+7.5	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+10	+9.1	10
3	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	+4	+7.8	8
4	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	1	1	+2	-1.2	7
5	For Sittard	4	2	1	1	+1	-6.5	7
6	Nijmegen	3	2	0	1	+4	+2.0	6
7	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.2	6
8	Groningen	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.1	6
9	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	-1	-3.1	5
10	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.6	4
11	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	+0	-1.9	4
12	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.8	3
13	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
14	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-4	-1.6	3
15	Willem II	3	0	1	2	-6	-2.1	1
16	Den Haag	4	0	1	3	-7	-6.2	1
17	Utrecht	4	0	1	3	-9	-3.0	1
18	Cambuur	3	0	0	3	-9	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.4	6
2	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.9	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+4	+4.6	4
4	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
5	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.0	3
6	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	-4.5	3
7	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
8	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.1	3
9	Feyenoord	2	0	2	0	+0	+3.6	2
10	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
11	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.7	1
12	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.2	1
13	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
14	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
15	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
16	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.9	0
17	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-7	-4.3	0
18	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-8	-3.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.5	6
2	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.5	6
3	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.1	6
4	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.2	6
5	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.0	4
6	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
7	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.9	3
9	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
10	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
11	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.1	3
12	Heerenveen	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.0	2
13	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.9	1
14	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.1	1
15	Den Haag	3	0	1	2	-4	-4.0	1
16	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
17	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.6	0
18	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.