Eredivisie
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Utrecht
Go Ahead Eagles
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +11 | +7.1 | 15 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +12 | +9.1 | 13 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +6 | +7.8 | 11 |
| 4 |
For Sittard
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | -6.5 | 10 |
| 5 |
Excelsior
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +7 | +2.0 | 9 |
| 6 |
Ajax
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | +2.6 | 7 |
| 7 |
Twente
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | +4.9 | 7 |
| 8 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | -1.2 | 7 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -1.9 | 7 |
| 10 |
Nijmegen
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | +2.0 | 6 |
| 11 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0 | -1.9 | 5 |
| 12 |
Heerenveen
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -2.6 | 5 |
| 13 |
Zwolle
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | -1.6 | 4 |
| 14 |
Telstar
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | -1.5 | 4 |
| 15 |
Den Haag
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8 | -6.2 | 1 |
| 16 |
Utrecht
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | -3.0 | 1 |
| 17 |
Willem II
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | -2.9 | 1 |
| 18 |
Cambuur
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -12 | -6.1 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
V. Barkas
G
S. Horemans
D
G. Offerhaus
D
M. Didden
D
N. Panagiotou
M
D. de Wit
M
D. van den Berg
M
A. Zagré
M
Ángel Alarcón
F
Artem Stepanov
F
Y. Cathline
F
Coach: A. Correia
K. Haug
G
A. Sampsted
D
J. Dirksen
D
J. Kramer
D
D. James
D
E. Linthorst
M
M. Meulensteen
M
S. Tengstedt
M
V. Edvardsen
M
M. Suray
M
S. Sigurðarson
F
Coach: J. Oosting
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
Utrecht
Ajax
Utrecht
Martin Van den Kerkhof · 67 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.