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Eredivisie

Referee: Joey Kooij

Zwolle

T T T T S

1–3

Full-time

Nijmegen

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,7

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,03 xG 1,94

52% Possession 48%

9 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 7

4 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 14. · Nijmegen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	4	4	0	0	+10	+7.5	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+5	+6.3	7
3	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+4	+5.6	7
4	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	1	1	+2	-1.2	7
5	For Sittard	4	2	1	1	+1	-6.5	7
6	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.2	6
7	Groningen	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.1	6
8	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.6	4
9	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	+0	-1.9	4
10	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.7	4
11	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.1	3
12	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.8	3
13	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
14	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.6	3
15	Utrecht	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.3	1
16	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.5	0
17	Den Haag	3	0	0	3	-7	-3.9	0
18	Cambuur	3	0	0	3	-9	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.4	6
2	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.9	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+4	+4.6	4
4	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
5	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.0	3
6	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	-4.5	3
7	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
8	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.1	3
9	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
10	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
11	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.7	1
12	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
13	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
14	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
15	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
16	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
17	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0
18	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-7	-4.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.1	6
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.2	6
3	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.0	4
4	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
5	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
7	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.9	3
8	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
9	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
10	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
11	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.1	3
12	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
13	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.9	1
14	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.1	1
15	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
16	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.6	0
17	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0
18	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.