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Eredivisie
Referee: Martijn Vos
1–1
Full-time
Nijmegen
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,8
Scored
1,8
2,7
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
57%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 93%
86%
100%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
3,7
4,9
Scored
1,9
3,0
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,76 xG 0,95
54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Corners 4
13 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 11. · Nijmegen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Feyenoord 8 7 1 0 +12 +11.0 22
2 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 1 1 +14 +6.7 19
3 Ajax 8 4 4 0 +7 +5.3 16
4 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 3 1 +5 +6.7 15
5 Groningen 8 5 0 3 +3 +0.7 15
6 Twente 8 4 1 3 +3 +7.6 13
7 For Sittard 8 4 1 3 +1 -4.6 13
8 Nijmegen 7 4 0 3 +8 +6.8 12
9 Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 1 4 -11 -4.1 10
10 Utrecht 7 3 0 4 +5 -1.6 9
11 Go Ahead Eagles 7 2 3 2 +0 -0.5 9
12 Heerenveen 7 2 2 3 -1 +7.6 8
13 Volendam 8 1 4 3 -4 -4.6 7
14 Telstar 8 2 1 5 -5 -4.2 7
15 NAC Breda 8 2 1 5 -6 -6.7 7
16 Zwolle 8 2 1 5 -8 -7.1 7
17 Excelsior 8 2 0 6 -10 -7.2 6
18 Heracles 8 1 0 7 -13 -11.9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Nijmegen
Mathis Suray 🟨
29′
32′
J. De Busser 1–0
own goal
43′
🟨 Sami Ouaissa
Half-time 1–0
Y. Salah Rahmouni 🔁
↦ E. Linthorst
64′
O. Pettersson 🔁
↦ R. Margaret
65′
65′
🔁 D. Nejasmic
↦ B. Linssen
69′
🟨 Darko Nejašmić
74′
🔁 E. Dasa
↦ S. Ouaissa
74′
🔁 P. Sandler
↦ V. Misidjan
75′
🟨 Gonzalo Crettaz
F. Stokkers 🔁
↦ M. Suray
77′
A. Adelgaard 🔁
↦ M. Meulensteen
77′
K. Goudmijn 🔁
↦ D. James
83′
85′
🟨 Philippe Sandler
85′
🟨 Philippe Sandler
85′
🟥 Philippe Sandler
87′
🔁 D. Fonville
↦ T. Chery
2–0 G. Nauber
J. Breum
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
22 J. De Busser G
2 M. Deijl D
3 G. Nauber D
4 J. Kramer D
5 D. James D
21 M. Meulensteen M
7 J. Breum M
8 E. Linthorst M
17 M. Suray F
9 M. Smit F
18 R. Margaret F
Bench (12)
1 L. Plogmann
33 N. Verdoni
6 C. Twigt
11 O. Sivertsen
14 O. Pettersson
15 R. Weijenberg
20 X. Blomme
24 K. Goudmijn
26 J. Dirksen
27 F. Stokkers
29 A. Adelgaard
34 Y. Salah Rahmouni

Coach: Melvin Boel

Nijmegen

3-4-1-2
1 G. Crettaz G
2 B. Pereira D
4 A. Kaplan D
5 T. Ouwejan D
25 S. Ouaissa M
71 D. Proper M
23 K. Sano M
7 V. Misidjan M
10 T. Chery F
18 K. Ogawa F
30 B. Linssen F
Bench (12)
22 J. Cillessen
14 E. Dasa
34 Y. El Kachati
24 D. Fonville
21 R. Gonzalez
20 N. Lebreton
6 D. Nejasmic
3 P. Sandler
9 K. Shiogai
35 S. de Laat
32 V. van Crooij
11 B. Onal

Coach: Dick Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
U ✓
3,86
B
2,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,41
U2,5 ✓
2,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.