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Eredivisie

Referee: Sander van der Eijk

Go Ahead Eagles

U T T S U

3–1

Full-time

Den Haag

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Den Haag

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,8

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,5

Scored

3,0

0,5

Conceded

1,5

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,85 xG 0,83

47% Possession 53%

11 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 3. · Den Haag 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+7	+6.8	9
2	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.5	6
3	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.5	4
4	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.6	4
5	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.6	4
6	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.0	4
7	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.9	4
8	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	+0	-5.8	4
9	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.7	4
10	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.9	3
11	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.1	3
12	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.8	3
13	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
14	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.6	3
15	Utrecht	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.3	1
16	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.9	0
17	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.5	0
18	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
2	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
3	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
4	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
5	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	-4.5	3
6	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.1	3
7	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
8	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
9	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
10	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.7	1
11	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
12	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
13	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
14	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
15	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
16	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
17	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0
18	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.1	6
2	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
3	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
4	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
5	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
7	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
8	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
9	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
10	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
11	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
12	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
13	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
14	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.9	1
15	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
16	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.6	0
17	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
18	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.