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Eredivisie
Referee: A Bos
5–0
Full-time
Nijmegen
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 43%
50%
36%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

2,04 xG 0,66
52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 8. · Nijmegen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 14 0 1 +44 +23.4 42
2 Ajax 14 10 3 1 +17 +10.5 33
3 Utrecht 14 10 2 2 +7 -1.9 32
4 Feyenoord 14 8 5 1 +18 +14.6 29
5 Twente 15 8 4 3 +10 +11.8 28
6 AZ Alkmaar 13 6 2 5 +3 +4.9 20
7 NAC Breda 14 6 1 7 -8 -5.7 19
8 Go Ahead Eagles 14 5 3 6 -3 +9.2 18
9 For Sittard 14 5 3 6 -4 +1.2 18
10 Nijmegen 14 5 1 8 +7 +4.6 16
11 Willem II 14 4 4 6 -1 -10.2 16
12 Heerenveen 13 4 3 6 -5 -3.3 15
13 Zwolle 14 4 3 7 -9 -12.1 15
14 Groningen 14 4 3 7 -10 -11.3 15
15 Heracles 14 3 4 7 -12 -11.7 13
16 Sparta Rotterdam 14 2 5 7 -8 +0.9 11
17 Waalwijk 14 1 3 10 -21 -14.3 6
18 Almere City 14 1 3 10 -25 -10.5 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Nijmegen
1–0 O. Edvardsen
M. Deijl
5′
2–0 O. Edvardsen
6′
3–0 E. Llansana
J. Breum
10′
4–0 O. Edvardsen
25′
30′
🟨 Calvin Verdonk
34′
🔁 T. Ouwejan
↦ B. Nuytinck
34′
🔁 L. Lyratzis
↦ B. Pereira
Half-time 4–0
Dean James 🟨
49′
52′
🟨 Sontje Hansen
55′
🔁 M. Hoedemakers
↦ K. Ogawa
55′
🔁 B. Önal
↦ V. van Crooij
5–0 D. James
58′
C. Twigt 🔁
↦ E. Linthorst
62′
F. Stokkers 🔁
↦ V. Edvardsen
62′
S. Tengstedt 🔁
↦ J. Breum
62′
J. Dirksen 🔁
↦ J. Kramer
77′
M. Smit 🔁
↦ O. Edvardsen
77′
80′
🔁 Iván Márquez
↦ P. Sandler
Oliver Antman 🟨
91′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 L. Plogmann G
2 M. Deijl D
3 G. Nauber D
4 J. Kramer D
5 D. James D
21 E. Llansana M
8 E. Linthorst M
19 O. Antman M
7 J. Breum M
23 O. Edvardsen M
16 V. Edvardsen F
Bench (11)
6 C. Twigt
27 F. Stokkers
10 S. Tengstedt
26 J. Dirksen
9 M. Smit
24 L. Everink
29 A. Adelgaard
11 B. Adekanye
22 J. De Busser
17 M. Suray
33 N. Verdoni

Coach: P. Simonis

Nijmegen

4-2-3-1
22 R. Roefs G
2 B. Pereira D
3 P. Sandler D
17 B. Nuytinck D
24 C. Verdonk D
23 K. Sano M
71 D. Proper M
10 S. Hansen M
25 S. Ouaissa M
32 V. van Crooij M
18 K. Ogawa F
Bench (11)
5 T. Ouwejan
19 L. Lyratzis
6 M. Hoedemakers
11 B. Önal
4 Iván Márquez
7 Róber
9 K. Shiogai
20 L. Schöne
8 A. Darelas
31 R. Janse
1 S. van Gassel

Coach: R. Meijer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
3,68
B
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,11
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Bos · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.