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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Makkelie
Cambuur
T U T T T
2–5
Full-time
Feyenoord
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambuur Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
3,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

0,96 xG 2,62
45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cambuur 17. · Feyenoord 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 3 3 0 0 +7 +6.8 9
2 PSV Eindhoven 3 2 1 0 +5 +6.3 7
3 Go Ahead Eagles 3 2 1 0 +5 -0.4 7
4 Groningen 3 2 0 1 +0 -1.8 6
5 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +2 +1.6 4
6 Sparta Rotterdam 3 1 1 1 +1 -1.6 4
7 Feyenoord 2 1 1 0 +1 +3.9 4
8 For Sittard 3 1 1 1 +0 -5.8 4
9 Heerenveen 3 1 1 1 -1 -2.7 4
10 Excelsior 2 1 0 1 +3 +0.9 3
11 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 +2 +2.1 3
12 Twente 2 1 0 1 +1 +2.8 3
13 Telstar 2 1 0 1 -1 -1.6 3
14 Zwolle 3 1 0 2 -2 -1.6 3
15 Utrecht 3 0 1 2 -4 -0.3 1
16 Willem II 2 0 0 2 -6 -2.5 0
17 Cambuur 2 0 0 2 -6 -2.0 0
18 Den Haag 3 0 0 3 -7 -3.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cambuur Feyenoord
17′
G. Zechiel 0–1
26′
L. Valente 0–2
G. Diarra
42′
T. Jansen 1–2
own goal
45′
A. Ueda 1–3
Half-time 1–3
M. Costarelli 🔁
↦ S. Vink
46′
E. Apkakou 🔁
↦ I. Hamache
46′
F. Kvam 🔁
↦ L. Jetten
62′
N. Binder 🔁
↦ S. Bouhoudane
62′
66′
🟨 Anis Hadj Moussa
67′
🔁 J. Lopez
↦ T. Watanabe
67′
🔁 O. Targhalline
↦ G. Diarra
67′
🔁 Nacho
↦ A. Ueda
2–3 R. El Arguioui
N. Binder
70′
3–3 R. El Arguioui
80′
81′
🔁 J. Lotomba
↦ G. Read
83′
G. Zechiel 3–4
J. Lotomba
D. Bouah 🔁
↦ I. Henstra
84′
84′
🔁 S. van Persie
↦ A. Hadj Moussa
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Cambuur

4-3-3
1 T. Jansen G
27 W. Kooistra D
4 I. Baouf D
6 J. Amofa D
23 L. Jetten D
10 R. El Arguioui M
8 N. Souren M
9 S. Vink M
29 I. Henstra F
7 S. Bouhoudane F
11 I. Hamache F
Bench (12)
21 J. Meijster
24 M. Kalisvaart
28 M. Costarelli
33 B. Vogelzang
16 R. Mulders
3 J. Berkhout
15 F. Kvam
2 D. Bouah
17 E. Apkakou
40 W. van der Goot
48 D. Westerhof
13 N. Binder

Coach: Johan Plat

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 T. Ernst G
26 G. Read D
4 T. Watanabe D
6 J. St. Juste D
35 M. Marmol D
8 G. Zechiel M
34 C. Vanhoutte M
10 L. Valente M
23 A. Hadj Moussa F
9 A. Ueda F
27 G. Diarra F
Bench (12)
39 L. Bossin
20 M. Deijl
30 J. Lotomba
16 J. Lopez
24 T. Kraaijeveld
14 S. Steijn
28 O. Targhalline
22 T. van den Elshout
19 Nacho
36 J. Zinhagel
17 C. Tengstedt
49 S. van Persie

Coach: Giovanni van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,37
U
5,82
B ✓
1,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,40
U2,5
2,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Makkelie · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.