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Eredivisie
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
Utrecht
T T T T U
0–1
Full-time
Feyenoord
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 19/21 matches
Win Ø 45%
32%
57%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
53%
71%
Both score Ø 65%
68%
62%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,4
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,06 xG 0,95
47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 13. · Feyenoord 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 21 18 2 1 +39 +20.9 56
2 Nijmegen 21 12 5 4 +21 +8.2 41
3 Feyenoord 21 12 3 6 +19 +18.3 39
4 Sparta Rotterdam 22 11 3 8 -7 -2.5 36
5 Ajax 20 9 8 3 +11 +6.9 35
6 Twente 22 8 10 4 +12 +23.6 34
7 AZ Alkmaar 21 9 5 7 +1 +13.3 32
8 Groningen 20 9 4 7 +4 +11.3 31
9 For Sittard 22 7 5 10 -5 -14.1 26
10 Excelsior 22 7 5 10 -13 -13.3 26
11 Zwolle 22 7 5 10 -14 -15.9 26
12 Heerenveen 20 6 6 8 -4 +9.8 24
13 Utrecht 19 6 5 8 +3 -2.4 23
14 Go Ahead Eagles 20 4 10 6 -3 -12.6 22
15 Volendam 22 5 6 11 -13 -18.4 21
16 Heracles 22 5 2 15 -26 -15.4 17
17 Telstar 21 3 7 11 -12 -9.8 16
18 NAC Breda 22 3 7 12 -13 -7.9 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,10
U
3,59
B ✓
2,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.