Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Utrecht
Feyenoord
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | +39 | +20.9 | 56 |
| 2 |
Nijmegen
|
21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | +21 | +8.2 | 41 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | +19 | +18.3 | 39 |
| 4 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | -7 | -2.5 | 36 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | +11 | +6.9 | 35 |
| 6 |
Twente
|
22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | +12 | +23.6 | 34 |
| 7 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | +1 | +13.3 | 32 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +4 | +11.3 | 31 |
| 9 |
For Sittard
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -5 | -14.1 | 26 |
| 10 |
Excelsior
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -13 | -13.3 | 26 |
| 11 |
Zwolle
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -14 | -15.9 | 26 |
| 12 |
Heerenveen
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -4 | +9.8 | 24 |
| 13 |
Utrecht
|
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | +3 | -2.4 | 23 |
| 14 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | -3 | -12.6 | 22 |
| 15 |
Volendam
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -13 | -18.4 | 21 |
| 16 |
Heracles
|
22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | -26 | -15.4 | 17 |
| 17 |
Telstar
|
21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -12 | -9.8 | 16 |
| 18 |
NAC Breda
|
22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -13 | -7.9 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Heerenveen
Utrecht
Celtic
Utrecht
Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
Genk
Volendam
Utrecht
M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.