Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Feyenoord
Utrecht
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +66 | +55.9 | 72 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | +45 | +50.4 | 62 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | +24 | +16.5 | 53 |
| 4 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | +32 | +17.5 | 52 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +12 | +10.4 | 44 |
| 6 |
Nijmegen
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | +12 | -11.0 | 41 |
| 7 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +6 | -4.0 | 39 |
| 8 |
Utrecht
|
26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | -2 | -5.0 | 36 |
| 9 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | -1 | -6.7 | 34 |
| 10 |
For Sittard
|
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | -15 | +1.0 | 34 |
| 11 |
Heerenveen
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -7 | -4.2 | 32 |
| 12 |
Almere City
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -17 | -12.5 | 30 |
| 13 |
Zwolle
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -15 | -11.5 | 28 |
| 14 |
Heracles
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -25 | -22.0 | 26 |
| 15 |
Waalwijk
|
27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -19 | -11.9 | 23 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -21 | -13.5 | 22 |
| 17 |
Vitesse
|
27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | -34 | -21.9 | 17 |
| 18 |
Volendam
|
26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | -41 | -27.7 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Geertruida
D
D. Hancko
D
Q. Hartman
D
M. Wieffer
M
R. Zerrouki
M
Q. Timber
M
Igor Paixão
M
S. Giménez
F
Coach: A. Slot
V. Barkas
G
N. Vesterlund
D
R. Flamingo
D
N. Viergever
D
S. El Karouani
D
O. Fraulo
M
J. Toornstra
M
O. Boussaid
M
S. Lammers
F
Coach: R. Jans
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Heracles
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Groningen
Almere City
Feyenoord
A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.