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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Feyenoord
S S U S S
4–2
Full-time
Utrecht
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 54%
73%
35%
Points per game
2,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
69%
31%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

3,07 xG 0,87
67% Possession 33%
27 Shots 3
10 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 2. · Utrecht 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 27 23 3 1 +66 +55.9 72
2 Feyenoord 26 19 5 2 +45 +50.4 62
3 Twente 26 16 5 5 +24 +16.5 53
4 AZ Alkmaar 27 15 7 5 +32 +17.5 52
5 Ajax 27 12 8 7 +12 +10.4 44
6 Nijmegen 26 11 8 7 +12 -11.0 41
7 Go Ahead Eagles 26 11 6 9 +6 -4.0 39
8 Utrecht 26 9 9 8 -2 -5.0 36
9 Sparta Rotterdam 27 9 7 11 -1 -6.7 34
10 For Sittard 27 9 7 11 -15 +1.0 34
11 Heerenveen 27 9 5 13 -7 -4.2 32
12 Almere City 26 7 9 10 -17 -12.5 30
13 Zwolle 27 7 7 13 -15 -11.5 28
14 Heracles 26 7 5 14 -25 -22.0 26
15 Waalwijk 27 6 5 16 -19 -11.9 23
16 Excelsior 27 4 10 13 -21 -13.5 22
17 Vitesse 27 4 5 18 -34 -21.9 17
18 Volendam 26 3 5 18 -41 -27.7 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Utrecht
2′
O. Boussaid 0–1
Quilindschy Hartman 🟨
30′
B. Nieuwkoop 🔁
↦ Q. Hartman
31′
32′
S. Lammers 0–2
1–2 Igor Paixão
Q. Timber
36′
Half-time 1–2
Bart Nieuwkoop 🟨
49′
51′
🟨 Can Bozdoğan
C. Stengs 🔁
↦ R. Zerrouki
54′
59′
🟨 Niklas Vesterlund
1–3 O. Fraulo
own goal
65′
2–3 D. Hancko
Q. Timber
71′
72′
🔁 Zidane Iqbal
↦ C. Bozdoğan
72′
🔁 I. Lidberg
↦ J. Toornstra
Lutsharel Geertruida 🟨
73′
A. Ueda 🔁
↦ S. Giménez
80′
L. Sauer 🔁
↦ Igor Paixão
80′
O. Lingr 🔁
↦ Y. Minteh
80′
82′
🔁 A. Blake
↦ O. Fraulo
82′
🔁 S. Andersen
↦ V. Jensen
3–3 L. Sauer
85′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
22 T. Wellenreuther G
4 L. Geertruida D
3 T. Beelen D
33 D. Hancko D
5 Q. Hartman D
20 M. Wieffer M
6 R. Zerrouki M
19 Y. Minteh M
8 Q. Timber M
14 Igor Paixão M
29 S. Giménez F
Bench (9)
2 B. Nieuwkoop
10 C. Stengs
9 A. Ueda
25 L. Sauer
32 O. Lingr
31 K. Lamprou
15 M. López
39 M. van Sas
16 T. van den Belt

Coach: A. Slot

Utrecht

4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas G
23 N. Vesterlund D
34 R. Flamingo D
24 N. Viergever D
16 S. El Karouani D
6 C. Bozdoğan M
8 O. Fraulo M
18 J. Toornstra M
7 V. Jensen M
26 O. Boussaid M
9 S. Lammers F
Bench (9)
14 Zidane Iqbal
37 I. Lidberg
15 A. Blake
46 S. Andersen
44 J. Mukeh
31 M. Branderhorst
32 T. Nijhuis
2 M. van der Maarel
45 N. Held

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,32
U
5,42
B
8,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,35
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.