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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Sparta Rotterdam

U T T T S

3–3

Full-time

Utrecht

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,73 xG 1,92

56% Possession 44%

14 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 12. · Utrecht 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+7	+6.8	9
2	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.5	6
3	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.5	4
4	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.6	4
5	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.0	4
6	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.0	4
7	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.9	4
8	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	+0	-5.8	4
9	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.9	3
10	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.1	3
11	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.8	3
12	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.4	3
13	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
14	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.5	0
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.4	0
16	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.9	0
17	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.5	0
18	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
2	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
3	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
4	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
5	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
6	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	-4.5	3
7	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
8	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
9	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
10	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
11	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
12	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0
13	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
14	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
15	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
16	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
17	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0
18	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.1	6
2	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
3	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
4	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
5	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
7	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
8	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
9	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
11	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
12	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
13	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
14	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
15	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
16	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.6	0
17	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
18	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.