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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Perenzoni
Parma
T T T S S
0–1
Full-time
Cagliari
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,75 xG 0,94
47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 20
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Feb -26 Parma – Cagliari 1–1 13. Sep -25 Cagliari – Parma 2–0 9. Feb -25 Cagliari – Parma 2–1 30. Sep -24 Parma – Cagliari 2–3 3. Jun -23 Parma – Cagliari 0–0

Match report

Parma Cagliari
10′
🟨 Zé Pedro
Half-time 0–0
57′
🟨 Jacopo Fazzini
P. Almqvist 🔁
↦ A. Bernabe
66′
66′
🔁 G. Zappa
↦ J. Pedro
66′
🔁 M. Felici
↦ J. Fazzini
66′
🔁 G. Borrelli
↦ P. Mendy
R. Kouda 🔁
↦ M. Keita
75′
O. Diallo 🔁
↦ S. Lontani
75′
79′
⚽ A. Romano 0–1
M. Adopo
B. Cremaschi 🔁
↦ M. Troilo
85′
N. Elphege 🔁
↦ A. Konate
85′
87′
🔁 G. Aurelio
↦ A. Obert
87′
🔁 K. Mutandwa
↦ D. Maldini
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Parma

4-3-3
40 E. Corvi G
15 E. Delprato D
37 M. Troilo D
3 A. Ndiaye D
14 E. Valeri D
10 A. Bernabe M
47 A. Konate M
32 C. Ordonez M
16 M. Keita F
19 E. B. Toure F
76 S. Lontani F
Bench (14)
30 G. Daffara
75 A. Mazzocchi
5 L. Valenti
29 F. Carboni
72 D. Drobnic
11 P. Almqvist
8 B. Cremaschi
24 O. Sorensen
80 R. Kouda
20 M. Frigan
9 D. Romero
23 N. Elphege
25 T. De Martis
7 O. Diallo

Coach: Carlos Cuesta

Cagliari

4-2-3-1
1 E. Caprile G
2 J. Pedro D
14 A. Deiola D
15 J. Rodriguez D
33 A. Obert D
4 A. Romano M
6 H. Winks M
8 M. Adopo M
70 D. Maldini M
10 J. Fazzini M
31 P. Mendy F
Bench (15)
23 B. Radunovic
12 A. Sherri
26 Y. Mina
28 G. Zappa
24 G. Aurelio
21 N. Cavuoti
16 M. Prati
32 I. Sulev
27 J. Liteta
17 M. Felici
22 R. Kofler
39 A. Fadera
18 K. Mutandwa
29 G. Borrelli
9 Kevin

Coach: Fabio Pisacane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,50
🔒
U
3,00
🔒
B ✓
3,01
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,41
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,54
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Daniele Perenzoni · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.