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Coppa Italia
Referee: G Manganiello
Genoa
S T T T U
1–0
Full-time
Sudtirol
U S U S U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
4,0
Scored
4,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
27 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 9. · Sudtirol 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palermo 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Cremonese 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Monza 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Udinese 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Frosinone 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Sassuolo 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Verona 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Arezzo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Venezia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Parma 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Cagliari 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Torino 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Benevento 2 1 0 1 -1 3
16 Ascoli 2 1 0 1 -1 3
17 Mantova 2 1 0 1 -1 3
18 Virtus Entella 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Catanzaro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Sudtirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Pisa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Empoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Vicenza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Catania 2 0 1 1 -2 1
25 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Padova 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Ravenna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Potenza 1 0 0 1 -2 0
30 Lazio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Lecce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Union Brescia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
35 Cesena 1 0 0 1 -3 0
36 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Sudtirol
45′
🔁 Giacomo Stabile
↦ Andrea Giorgini
Half-time 0–0
Lorenzo Colombo 🔁
↦ Mario Mitaj
61′
Stephan El Shaarawy 🔁
↦ Cody Drameh
61′
61′
🔁 Kevin Zeroli
↦ Lorenzo Anghele
Junior Messias 🔁
↦ Tommaso Baldanzi
68′
73′
🔁 Salvatore Molina
↦ Mattia Pellini
73′
🔁 Alvin Okoro
↦ Kenny Meddy Mixtur
Johan Vásquez 🔁
↦ Sebastian Otoa
80′
Hamed Junior Traorè 🔁
↦ Franz-Ethan Meichtry
81′
82′
🔁 Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason
↦ Davide Veroli
1–0 Johan Vásquez
David Puczka
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Genoa

4 Alexsandro Amorim M
99 F. Stolz G
71 S. Wiafe F
9 Vítinha F
31 D. Puczka D
34 S. Otoa D
11 E. Meichtry M
27 A. Marcandalli D
16 C. Drameh D
8 T. Baldanzi M
2 M. Mitaj D

Coach: D. De Rossi

Sudtirol

17 L. Anghelè F
46 D. Brik M
9 R. Burnete F
23 F. Davi D
24 S. Davì D
55 A. Giorgini D
22 A. Plizzari G
25 K. Mixtur F
19 M. Pellini D
21 F. Tait M
3 D. Veroli D
Bench (13)
18 Kevin Zeroli
20 B. Bjarkason
12 Rok Vadjunec
5 S. Tronchin
4 R. Stivanello
27 G. Stabile
10 Fabio Rispoli
90 A. Okoro
79 S. Molina
11 Vasco Lopes
32 Tommaso Laureti
39 Marco Iuliano
80 Elias Schroot

Coach: D. Possanzini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
4,00
B
6,00
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,29
U1,5 ✓
3,40
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,88
O3,5
3,25
U3,5 ✓
1,30
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,95
BLS nei ✓
1,77

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.