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Serie A

Referee: Giuseppe Mucera

Como

S U S S S

2–1

Full-time

Parma

S T T T U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,5

1,7

Scored

2,7

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

2,3

0,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,24 xG 1,23

64% Possession 36%

29 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

12 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 4

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Como 6. · Parma 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lazio	4	3	1	0	+3	+2.0	10
2	Roma	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.3	9
3	Inter	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.0	9
4	Cagliari	4	3	0	1	+2	-2.0	9
5	Milan	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.3	8
6	Como	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
7	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.6	7
8	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+2	+3.2	7
9	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.3	7
10	Napoli	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.0	6
11	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	+0	-2.6	6
12	Lecce	4	2	0	2	-2	-4.8	6
13	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.1	4
14	Torino	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.5	3
15	Fiorentina	4	1	0	3	-6	+0.9	3
16	Bologna	4	0	1	3	-3	+0.5	1
17	Parma	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.5	1
18	Monza	4	0	1	3	-5	+2.6	1
19	Genoa	4	0	1	3	-6	-1.5	1
20	Venezia	4	0	0	4	-7	-4.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.7	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.2	6
3	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
4	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.6	6
5	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.2	4
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
8	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.8	3
9	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
10	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
11	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-3	-4.3	3
12	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
13	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.1	1
14	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
15	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-5	-0.3	1
16	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
17	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
18	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.3	0
19	Fiorentina	2	0	0	2	-4	+1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Como	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
2	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.0	6
3	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.2	6
4	Milan	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.1	5
5	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.9	4
6	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
7	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.1	3
8	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
9	Lecce	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.5	3
10	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
11	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
12	Juventus	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
13	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.1	3
14	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.8	1
15	Monza	3	0	1	2	-4	+1.9	1
16	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
18	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
19	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.7	0
20	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.