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Serie A
Referee: Francesco Fourneau
Juventus
U S T U S
2–0
Full-time
Parma
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,58 xG 0,25
58% Possession 42%
21 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
23 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 11. · Parma 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Milan 2 2 0 0 +3 +2.3 6
2 Udinese 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.1 4
3 Roma 1 1 0 0 +4 +2.7 3
4 Inter 1 1 0 0 +3 -0.2 3
5 Frosinone 2 1 0 1 +2 -2.8 3
6 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.1 3
7 Lecce 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.7 3
8 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.8 3
9 Cagliari 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
10 Lazio 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.1 3
11 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.8 3
12 Sassuolo 2 1 0 1 +0 +2.4 3
13 Como 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.6 1
14 Parma 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
15 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -1 +1.1 0
16 Torino 2 0 0 2 -2 -1.5 0
17 Genoa 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.1 0
18 Monza 2 0 0 2 -4 +0.9 0
19 Venezia 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.1 0
20 Fiorentina 2 0 0 2 -7 -1.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Parma
Jhon Lucumí 🟨
10′
Half-time 0–0
Manuel Locatelli 🟨
54′
55′
🟨 Enrico Delprato
N. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ J. David
57′
K. Alajbegovic 🔁
↦ J. Boga
57′
61′
🔁 B. Cremaschi
↦ C. Ordonez
62′
🔁 D. Romero
↦ S. Lontani
1–0 N. Gonzalez
62′
L. Kelly 🔁
↦ J. Lucumi
75′
A. Cambiaso 🔁
↦ F. Conceicao
76′
78′
🟨 Mariano Troilo
80′
🔁 A. Konate
↦ A. Bernabe
80′
🔁 N. Elphege
↦ E. B. Toure
84′
🔁 P. Almqvist
↦ S. Britschgi
T. Koopmeiners 🔁
86′
2–0 T. Koopmeiners
M. Locatelli
88′
93′
🟨 Abdou-Salam Konate
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Juventus

4-4-2
25 G. Vicario G
15 P. Kalulu D
3 Bremer D
26 J. Lucumi D
2 Z. Celik D
7 F. Conceicao M
5 M. Locatelli M
12 Douglas Luiz M
13 J. Boga M
9 R. Kolo Muani F
30 J. David F
Bench (12)
23 C. Pinsoglio
1 K. Grabara
6 L. Kelly
20 A. Cambiaso
4 F. Gatti
24 D. Rugani
32 J. Cabal
8 T. Koopmeiners
31 N. Gonzalez
17 K. Alajbegovic
18 J. Ekhator
14 A. Milik

Coach: Luciano Spalletti

Parma

4-4-2
40 E. Corvi G
15 E. Delprato D
37 M. Troilo D
72 D. Drobnic D
14 E. Valeri D
27 S. Britschgi M
32 C. Ordonez M
10 A. Bernabe M
16 M. Keita M
76 S. Lontani F
19 E. B. Toure F
Bench (15)
30 G. Daffara
75 A. Mazzocchi
3 A. Ndiaye
5 L. Valenti
29 F. Carboni
11 P. Almqvist
80 G. Fabbian
8 B. Cremaschi
47 A. Konate
24 O. Sorensen
20 M. Frigan
9 D. Romero
23 N. Elphege
25 T. De Martis
7 O. Diallo

Coach: Carlos Cuesta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
U
6,17
B
13,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Francesco Fourneau · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.