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Serie A

Referee: Marco Guida

Genoa

T T S T T

1–4

Full-time

Como

S S S U S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Como

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

0,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

38% Possession 62%

11 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 9

4 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 4

6 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 17. · Como 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.3	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.0	6
3	Milan	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.3	6
4	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.1	6
5	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.7	6
6	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.0	6
7	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
8	Como	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.0	4
9	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	+2	-2.8	3
10	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.4	3
11	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.4	3
12	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	-3.0	3
13	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.0	3
14	Torino	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.5	0
15	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.0	0
16	Parma	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.5	0
17	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.3	0
18	Monza	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.9	0
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.1	0
20	Fiorentina	2	0	0	2	-7	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.7	6
2	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.2	3
4	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
6	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
8	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
9	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
10	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
11	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
12	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
13	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.2	0
14	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
15	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
16	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
17	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
18	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-3	+1.0	0
19	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Como	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.0	4
2	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
3	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	-1.0	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
5	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
6	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
8	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
9	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
10	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
11	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
12	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
13	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
14	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
15	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
16	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
17	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
18	Monza	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.2	0
19	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Apr -26 Genoa – Como 0–2 15. Sep -25 Como – Genoa 1–1 27. Apr -25 Como – Genoa 1–0 7. Nov -24 Genoa – Como 1–1 10. Apr -23 Como – Genoa 2–2

Match report

Genoa Como

1–0 Milutin Osmajić ⚽

Lorenzo Colombo

19′

25′

⚽ Martin Baturina 1–1

Álex Valle

30′

⚽ Assane Diao Diaoune 1–2

Djibril Sow 🟨

36′

40′

⚽ Nico Paz 1–3

Yan Couto

Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira 🔁

↦ Stefano Sabelli

45′

Half-time 1–3

60′

🟨 Martin Baturina

Leo Østigård 🟨

62′

66′

🔁 Moise Kean

↦ Anastasios Douvikas

66′

🔁 Maxence Caqueret

↦ Martin Baturina

Kingsley Ehizibue 🔁

↦ Tommaso Baldanzi

66′

Junior Messias 🔁

↦ Lorenzo Colombo

66′

Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho 🔁

↦ Djibril Sow

75′

78′

⚽ Assane Diao Diaoune 1–4

Moise Kean

79′

🔁 Samuele Ricci

↦ Lucas Da Cunha

80′

🔁 Luis Milla

↦ Nico Paz

Franz-Ethan Meichtry 🔁

↦ Alessandro Marcandalli

81′

84′

🔁 Mattia Liberali

↦ Assane Diao Diaoune

Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Genoa

3-4-1-2

J. Bijlow G

A. Marcandalli D

L. Østigård D

J. Vásquez D

S. Sabelli M

M. Frendrup M

D. Sow M

M. Ellertsson M

T. Baldanzi M

L. Colombo F

M. Osmajić F

Bench (14)

92 S. El Shaarawy

4 Alexsandro Amorim

9 Vítinha

74 M. Doucoure

3 K. Ehizibue

11 E. Meichtry

10 Junior Messias

2 M. Mitaj

31 D. Puczka

39 D. Sommariva

99 F. Stolz

25 H. Traorè

34 S. Otoa

71 S. Wiafe

Coach: D. De Rossi

Como

4-2-3-1

J. Butez G

Yan Couto D

Jacobo Ramón Naveros D

T. Chalobah D

Álex Valle D

M. Perrone M

L. da Cunha M

Assane Diao M

N. Paz M

M. Baturina M

T. Douvikas F

Bench (15)

97 Robert Sánchez

6 Luis Milla

14 S. Ricci

28 I. Smolčić

22 M. Vigorito

16 Kaiki

30 M. Liberali

15 A. Lahdo

2 M. Kempf

90 M. Kean

53 Willy Kambwala Ndengushi

18 E. Goldaniga

13 A. Dossena

8 M. Caqueret

17 Jesús Rodríguez

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

4,88

🔒

Pinnacle 5,61 Betano 5,50 Marathonbet 5,50 1xBet 5,33 Bet365 5,25 Dafabet 5,20 Unibet 5,10 Betfair 5,00 10Bet 4,90 Superbet 4,75 BetVictor 4,75 William Hill 4,50 SBO 4,02

3,43

🔒

Dafabet 3,65 BetVictor 3,60 Pinnacle 3,57 1xBet 3,56 Betano 3,55 Marathonbet 3,52 Betfair 3,50 William Hill 3,50 Bet365 3,40 Unibet 3,40 Superbet 3,40 10Bet 3,20 SBO 3,07

B ✓

1,78

🔒

Superbet 1,85 1xBet 1,83 SBO 1,81 10Bet 1,80 Betano 1,78 Marathonbet 1,77 Bet365 1,75 Betfair 1,75 BetVictor 1,75 William Hill 1,75 Pinnacle 1,74 Dafabet 1,73 Unibet 1,72

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,32

🔒