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Serie A

Referee: Ermanno Feliciani

Lazio

T T S T S

1–0

Full-time

Genoa

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,62 xG 0,42

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lazio 12. · Genoa 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Milan	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.3	6
2	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.1	6
3	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
4	Como	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.0	4
5	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
6	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.2	3
7	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	+2	-2.8	3
8	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
9	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.4	3
10	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
11	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
12	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
13	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.4	3
14	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
15	Torino	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.5	0
16	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
17	Parma	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.5	0
18	Monza	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.9	0
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.1	0
20	Fiorentina	2	0	0	2	-7	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.2	3
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
4	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
5	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
6	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
8	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
9	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
10	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
11	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
12	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
13	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
14	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
15	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
16	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-3	+1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Como	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.0	4
2	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	-1.0	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
4	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
5	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
7	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
9	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
10	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
11	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
12	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
13	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
14	Monza	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.2	0
15	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.