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Super League
Referee: A Tsakalidis
Panetolikos
S S T U S
0–1
Full-time
PAOK
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 50%
47%
53%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
33%
60%
Both score Ø 57%
47%
67%
Average goals
1,9
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 7. · PAOK 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 16 10 3 3 +19 33
2 Olympiakos 15 9 3 3 +15 30
3 Panathinaikos 16 8 6 2 +6 30
4 PAOK 15 8 3 4 +10 27
5 Aris Thessalonikis 15 8 3 4 +4 27
6 Aris 15 8 3 4 +4 27
7 Panetolikos 15 7 4 4 +5 25
8 Atromitos 17 5 5 7 -1 20
9 OFI Crete 16 5 5 6 -5 20
10 Volos NFC 16 6 2 8 -9 20
11 Asteras Tripolis 16 4 5 7 -2 17
12 Panserraikos 17 5 1 11 -11 16
13 Levadeiakos 16 2 7 7 -9 13
14 Lamia 16 1 6 9 -13 9
15 Athens Kallithea 15 0 8 7 -13 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos PAOK
Michalis Bakakis 🟨
17′
Andrija Majdevac ❌
penalty missed
23′
36′
🟨 Tomasz Kędziora
Nikola Stajić 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Konstantelias
↦ T. Murg
62′
🔁 A. Baba
↦ Joan Sastre
62′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ F. Chalov
62′
🔁 M. Ozdoev
↦ S. Schwab
Miguel Luís 🔁
↦ I. Bouzoukis
63′
C. Mavrias 🔁
↦ M. Bakakis
63′
S. Lomónaco 🔁
↦ A. Majdevac
64′
69′
🔁 T. Tissoudali
↦ S. Shoretire
76′
🟨 Giannis Konstantelias
Sebastián Lomónaco 🟨
78′
C. Belevonis 🔁
↦ Daniel Lajud
81′
87′
⚽ Mady Camara 0–1
A. Živković
91′
🟨 Mady Camara
Epameinondas Pantelakis 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Panetolikos

5-3-2
13 L. Chaves G
2 M. Bakakis D
16 C. Shielis D
4 E. Pantelakis D
49 N. Stajić D
24 P. Silva D
18 I. Bouzoukis M
10 F. Pérez M
54 G. Liavas M
11 Daniel Lajud F
7 A. Majdevac F
Bench (9)
90 Miguel Luís
35 C. Mavrias
15 S. Lomónaco
8 C. Belevonis
23 G. Agapakis
22 Fermín Ruiz
6 S. Kontouris
1 M. Pardalos
77 E. Nikolaou

Coach: G. Petrakis

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
23 Joan Sastre D
16 T. Kędziora D
5 G. Michailidis D
19 Jonny D
2 Mady Camara M
22 S. Schwab M
14 A. Živković M
10 T. Murg M
47 S. Shoretire M
9 F. Chalov F
Bench (9)
7 G. Konstantelias
21 A. Baba
70 M. Samatta
27 M. Ozdoev
34 T. Tissoudali
54 K. Balomenos
18 J. Gómez
6 D. Lovren
20 Vieirinha

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,48
U
4,19
B ✓
1,46
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Tsakalidis · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.