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Super League

Referee: G Kokkinos

Panetolikos

U T S U U

1–2

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 23%

27%

19%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

41%

43%

Both score Ø 45%

43%

46%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,23 xG 1,86

62% Possession 38%

19 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Panetolikos 11. · Asteras Tripolis 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	34	22	10	2	+38	+13.8	76
2	Olympiakos	34	20	10	4	+35	+16.4	70
3	PAOK	34	19	11	4	+36	+5.2	68
4	Panathinaikos	34	15	11	8	+16	+1.9	56
5	Levadeiakos	36	15	10	11	+13	-2.8	55
6	Atromitos	38	12	11	15	+6	+2.4	47
7	Aris Thessalonikis	32	11	13	8	+2	+0.7	46
8	Aris	32	11	13	8	+2	–	46
9	OFI Crete	36	14	3	19	-11	-8.7	45
10	Kifisia	37	8	15	14	-13	+1.5	39
11	Panetolikos	37	10	9	18	-14	-5.4	39
12	Asteras Tripolis	37	7	13	17	-15	-1.4	34
13	Larisa	37	6	15	16	-21	-8.9	33
14	Volos NFC	36	9	6	21	-26	-4.4	33
15	Panserraikos	38	7	10	21	-48	-10.3	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	17	14	2	1	+25	+9.5	44
2	PAOK	17	13	4	0	+28	+4.8	43
3	Olympiakos	17	11	4	2	+20	+8.1	37
4	Levadeiakos	18	10	5	3	+21	+1.0	35
5	Panathinaikos	17	9	6	2	+15	+0.8	33
6	OFI Crete	18	9	0	9	+6	-2.6	27
7	Aris Thessalonikis	16	5	9	2	+5	+4.8	24
8	Aris	16	5	9	2	+5	–	24
9	Asteras Tripolis	19	6	6	7	+2	+2.7	24
10	Atromitos	19	5	6	8	+2	+3.3	21
11	Volos NFC	18	5	6	7	-8	+1.6	21
12	Larisa	19	4	8	7	-9	-0.8	20
13	Kifisia	18	4	6	8	-6	+2.6	18
14	Panetolikos	18	4	3	11	-11	+0.2	15
15	Panserraikos	19	3	6	10	-21	-5.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	9	6	2	+15	+8.3	33
2	AEK	17	8	8	1	+13	+4.3	32
3	Atromitos	19	7	5	7	+4	-0.9	26
4	PAOK	17	6	7	4	+8	+0.4	25
5	Panetolikos	19	6	6	7	-3	-5.6	24
6	Panathinaikos	17	6	5	6	+1	+1.1	23
7	Aris Thessalonikis	16	6	4	6	-3	-4.2	22
8	Aris	16	6	4	6	-3	–	22
9	Kifisia	19	4	9	6	-7	-1.1	21
10	Levadeiakos	18	5	5	8	-8	-3.9	20
11	OFI Crete	18	5	3	10	-17	-6.1	18
12	Panserraikos	19	4	4	11	-27	-4.8	16
13	Larisa	18	2	7	9	-12	-8.1	13
14	Volos NFC	18	4	0	14	-18	-6.1	12
15	Asteras Tripolis	18	1	7	10	-17	-4.1	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.