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Super League

Referee: Konstantinos Tsetsilas

Panetolikos

S U U T S

2–0

Full-time

Kalamata

T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Kalamata

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

2,5

5,0

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,2

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

5,0

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,46 xG 1,02

44% Possession 56%

20 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panetolikos 3. · Kalamata 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.6	3
2	AEK	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
3	Panetolikos	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
4	OFI Crete	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Aris Thessalonikis	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
6	Aris	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	Olympiakos	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.9	3
8	Volos NFC	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.2	1
9	Iraklis	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.4	1
10	Atromitos	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.9	0
11	Kalamata	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.3	0
12	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
13	Levadeiakos	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.6	3
2	AEK	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
3	Panetolikos	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
4	OFI Crete	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Olympiakos	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.9	3
6	Volos NFC	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
7	Kalamata	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aris Thessalonikis	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
2	Aris	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
3	Iraklis	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.4	1
4	Atromitos	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.9	0
5	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
6	Volos NFC	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
7	Levadeiakos	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.