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Super League
PAOK
U S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Aris
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,3
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 7
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 6. · Aris 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 AEK 5 3 2 0 +14 +4.1 11
2 Panathinaikos 3 3 0 0 +6 +1.8 9
3 Panetolikos 3 3 0 0 +6 +0.8 9
4 OFI Crete 5 3 0 2 +3 -0.4 9
5 Olympiakos 4 2 1 1 +1 +5.0 7
6 PAOK 3 2 0 1 +3 +0.2 6
7 Aris Thessalonikis 3 2 0 1 -3 -1.4 6
8 Aris 3 2 0 1 -3 6
9 Iraklis 4 1 2 1 -2 -2.4 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 -2 -2.5 4
11 Atromitos 4 0 2 2 -2 -3.4 2
12 Volos NFC 4 0 2 2 -4 -1.0 2
13 Kifisia 3 0 1 2 -4 +1.1 1
14 Asteras Tripolis 4 0 1 3 -5 -0.2 1
15 Levadeiakos 3 0 0 3 -8 -1.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,48
U
4,10
B
5,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.