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Super League
Referee: Athanasios Tzilos
Atromitos
T S T S T
1–2
Full-time
PAOK
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atromitos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,33 xG 1,61
46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atromitos 10. · PAOK 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Panetolikos 2 2 0 0 +4 +0.8 6
2 Aris Thessalonikis 2 2 0 0 +2 +1.7 6
3 Aris 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 PAOK 1 1 0 0 +4 +1.6 3
5 AEK 1 1 0 0 +4 +1.7 3
6 Olympiakos 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.9 3
7 OFI Crete 3 1 0 2 +0 +0.1 3
8 Volos NFC 2 0 1 1 -2 +0.2 1
9 Iraklis 2 0 1 1 -4 -2.4 1
10 Atromitos 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.9 0
11 Asteras Tripolis 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.7 0
12 Kalamata 3 0 0 3 -4 -2.7 0
13 Levadeiakos 1 0 0 1 -4 -1.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atromitos PAOK
1–0 C. Nunez
A. Karamanis
19′
Dimitrios Tsakmakis 🟨
37′
43′
D. Pelkas 1–1
T. Ali
Half-time 1–1
P. Tsantilas 🔁
↦ D. Tsakmakis
46′
46′
🔁 G. Michailidis
↦ P. Hatzidiakos
51′
🟨 Greg Taylor
59′
🔁 B. Santamaria
↦ G. Taylor
64′
D. Pelkas 1–2
66′
🔁 D. Chatsidis
↦ T. Ali
E. Hoxha 🔁
↦ S. Tsiloulis
72′
A. Kotsis 🔁
↦ S. Zuber
73′
G. Tzovaras 🔁
↦ S. Pnevmonidis
73′
81′
🔁 K. Thymianis
↦ A. Zivkovic
81′
🔁 A. Mythou
↦ C. Ndiaye
H. Magnusson 🔁
↦ C. Nunez
85′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Atromitos

4-2-3-1
1 L. Choutetsiotis G
44 D. Tsakmakis D
4 D. Stavropoulos D
24 G. Mitoglou D
21 J. Uronen D
6 A. Karamanis M
8 S. Moutoussamy M
10 S. Pnevmonidis M
11 C. Nunez M
7 S. Zuber M
23 S. Tsiloulis F
Bench (10)
88 S. Dieng
31 V. Athanasiou
32 H. Magnusson
16 G. Papadopoulos
20 S. Abartzidis
30 A. Kotsis
17 E. Hoxha
19 P. Tsantilas
33 K. Batos
99 G. Tzovaras

Coach: Dusan Kerkez

PAOK

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
3 J. Kenny D
6 A. Elustondo D
4 P. Hatzidiakos D
21 A. Baba D
20 C. Zafeiris M
32 G. Taylor M
14 A. Zivkovic M
10 D. Pelkas M
22 T. Ali M
27 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (12)
99 A. Tsiftsis
41 D. Monastirlis
13 D. Giannoulis
25 K. Thymianis
18 Jogo
97 D. Bataoulas
5 G. Michailidis
11 Taison
7 B. Santamaria
52 D. Chatsidis
47 S. Shoretire
56 A. Mythou

Coach: Alessio Lisci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,78
U
3,73
B ✓
1,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.