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Super League

Referee: Andrea Colombo

PAOK

S T S T S

2–0

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

S S S S T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 71%

75%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

75%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

4,3

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

1,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 7

15 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 4. · Aris Thessalonikis 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	5	3	2	0	+14	+4.1	11
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	+1.8	9
3	Panetolikos	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.8	9
4	PAOK	4	3	0	1	+5	+0.2	9
5	OFI Crete	5	3	0	2	+3	-0.4	9
6	Olympiakos	4	2	1	1	+1	+5.0	7
7	Aris Thessalonikis	3	2	0	1	-3	-1.4	6
8	Aris	4	2	0	2	-5	–	6
9	Iraklis	4	1	2	1	-2	-2.4	5
10	Kalamata	5	1	1	3	-2	-2.5	4
11	Atromitos	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.4	2
12	Volos NFC	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.0	2
13	Kifisia	3	0	1	2	-4	+1.1	1
14	Asteras Tripolis	4	0	1	3	-5	-0.2	1
15	Levadeiakos	3	0	0	3	-8	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	3	3	0	0	+14	+4.8	9
2	PAOK	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.6	6
3	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
4	Panetolikos	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
5	OFI Crete	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.1	6
6	Aris Thessalonikis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Aris	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Kalamata	3	1	0	2	+0	-1.3	3
9	Olympiakos	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.9	3
10	Volos NFC	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
11	Kifisia	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
12	Iraklis	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
13	Atromitos	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
14	Asteras Tripolis	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.9	1
15	Levadeiakos	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
2	Iraklis	3	1	1	1	-2	-2.4	4
3	Panetolikos	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
4	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
5	OFI Crete	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.4	3
6	PAOK	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
7	Aris Thessalonikis	2	1	0	1	-4	-1.8	3
8	Aris	3	1	0	2	-6	–	3
9	AEK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
10	Atromitos	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.9	1
11	Kalamata	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
12	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
13	Volos NFC	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.5	0
14	Kifisia	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.4	0
15	Levadeiakos	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.