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Europa League
Referee: Michal Ocenas
Crystal Palace
T T S S T
4–0
Full-time
Lech Poznan
U S S S T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Crystal Palace Lech Poznan
1–0 Yeremy Pino ⚽
10′
2–0 Chris Richards ⚽
Adam Wharton
27′
3–0 Jörgen Strand Larsen ⚽
34′
Half-time 3–0
61′
🔁 Filip Jagiełło
↦ Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
61′
🔁 Y. Agnero
↦ Mikael Ishak
Oscar Mingueza 🔁
↦ Anan Khalaili
62′
Dwight McNeil 🔁
↦ Quinten Timber
62′
70′
🔁 Robert Gumny
↦ Joel Pereira
70′
🔁 Leo Bengtsson
↦ Patrick Walemark
Jaydee Canvot 🔁
↦ Chris Richards
74′
Ismaila Sarr 🔁
↦ Daichi Kamada
74′
Eddie Nketiah 🔁
↦ Jörgen Strand Larsen
74′
76′
🟨 Radosław Murawski
81′
🔁 Daniel Håkans
↦ Pablo Rodriguez Delgado
87′
🟥 Radosław Murawski
4–0 Eddie Nketiah ⚽
Dwight McNeil
89′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

3-4-3
44 W. Benítez G
26 C. Richards D
5 A. Disasi D
21 H. Ahanor D
25 A. Khalaili M
23 Q. Timber M
20 A. Wharton M
3 T. Mitchell M
18 D. Kamada F
22 J. Strand Larsen F
10 Yeremy Pino F
Bench (11)
43 S. Williams
6 J. Canvot
33 B. Chilwell
31 R. Matthews
11 D. McNeil
30 Óscar Mingueza
9 E. Nketiah
24 D. Osorio
7 I. Sarr
17 T. Tomiyasu
81 Lucca Benetton

Coach: P. Sage

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
1 M. Lis G
2 Joel Pereira D
27 W. Mońka D
59 T. Yegbe D
15 M. Gurgul D
22 R. Murawski M
21 Pablo Rodríguez M
10 P. Wålemark M
77 L. Palma M
17 A. Sayyadmanesh M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (10)
72 M. Skrzypczak
31 Wiktor Obremski
4 João Moutinho
24 F. Jagiełło
33 M. Pruchniewski
11 D. Håkans
20 R. Gumny
14 L. Bengtsson
7 Y. Agnero
56 W. Szymczak

Coach: N. Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,35
🔒
U
5,10
🔒
B
8,00
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,13
🔒
U1,5
5,10
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,49
🔒
U2,5
2,50
🔒
O3,5 ✓
2,29
🔒
U3,5
1,62
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,75
🔒
BLS nei ✓
1,98
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.