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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Lukasz Kuzma
Widzew Lodz
U U S T U
2–3
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,7
3,3
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 44%
20%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
60%
67%
Both score Ø 47%
60%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,4
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,80 xG 1,89
38% Possession 62%
14 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 9
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Widzew Lodz 13. · Lech Poznan 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Legia 6 3 3 0 +8 +3.8 12
2 Wisla 6 3 1 2 +2 +4.3 10
3 GKS Katowice 5 3 0 2 +6 -1.9 9
4 Gornik Zabrze 4 3 0 1 +3 -0.8 9
5 Jagiellonia 4 3 0 1 +3 +2.4 9
6 Pogon Szczecin 5 2 2 1 +3 -1.1 8
7 Korona Kielce 5 2 2 1 +2 -1.7 8
8 Zaglebie 5 2 2 1 +1 +0.6 8
9 Cracovia 6 2 2 2 -1 +3.2 8
10 Lech Poznan 3 2 1 0 +4 +2.3 7
11 Piast Gliwice 6 2 1 3 -3 -3.6 7
12 Radomiak Radom 6 2 1 3 -7 -3.0 7
13 Widzew Lodz 5 1 3 1 +1 +1.0 6
14 Slask Wroclaw 6 1 3 2 -1 -0.6 6
15 Motor Lublin 6 1 2 3 -4 -0.3 5
16 Wisla Plock 5 1 1 3 -7 -0.9 4
17 Wieczysta Krakow 5 1 0 4 -4 -0.9 3
18 Rakow 4 0 0 4 -6 -2.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Widzew Lodz Lech Poznan
6′
A. Kozubal 0–1
P. Walemark
22′
A. Sayyadmanesh 0–2
P. Walemark
1–2 K. Swiderski
M. Fornalczyk
27′
Half-time 1–2
Ángel Baena 🟨
46′
2–2 M. Fornalczyk
S. Kapuadi
53′
68′
🔁 L. Palma
↦ Y. Agnero
70′
🟨 Radosław Murawski
G. Papanikolaou 🔁
↦ E. Kornvig
70′
S. Bergier 🔁
↦ K. Swiderski
70′
75′
🔁 G. Berggren
↦ R. Murawski
75′
🔁 F. Jagiello
↦ P. Rodriguez
S. Biuk 🔁
↦ M. Fornalczyk
81′
A. Klukowski 🔁
↦ F. Alvarez
86′
88′
🔁 W. Szymczak
↦ P. Walemark
90′
L. Palma 2–3
Mateusz Żyro ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
91′
97′
🟨 Luis Palma
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Widzew Lodz

4-1-4-1
1 B. Dragowski G
91 M. Krajewski D
4 M. Zyro D
3 S. Kapuadi D
40 M. Garcia D
18 L. Selahi M
77 A. Baena Perez M
10 F. Alvarez M
8 E. Kornvig M
7 M. Fornalczyk M
28 K. Swiderski F
Bench (8)
30 V. Ilic
33 J. Krzywanski
14 R. Visus
19 D. Males
5 G. Papanikolaou
79 S. Biuk
20 A. Klukowski
99 S. Bergier

Coach: Aleksandar Vukovic

Lech Poznan

4-4-2
1 M. Lis G
2 J. Pereira D
27 W. Monka D
59 T. Yegbe D
15 M. Gurgul D
10 P. Walemark M
22 R. Murawski M
43 A. Kozubal M
17 A. Sayyadmanesh M
7 Y. Agnero F
21 P. Rodriguez F
Bench (8)
33 M. Pruchniewski
20 R. Gumny
72 M. Skrzypczak
5 G. Berggren
77 L. Palma
53 K. Delikat
24 F. Jagiello
56 W. Szymczak

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lukasz Kuzma · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.