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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Wojciech Myc
Gornik Zabrze
T T T S S
2–1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S U S S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
4,2
Scored
1,7
3,3
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 3. · Lech Poznan 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 6 5 1 0 +7 +6.4 16
2 Legia 7 4 3 0 +9 +4.6 15
3 Gornik Zabrze 6 5 0 1 +5 +0.6 15
4 Wisla 8 4 2 2 +4 +4.5 14
5 Korona Kielce 7 3 3 1 +3 -1.9 12
6 Jagiellonia 7 4 0 3 +1 +1.9 12
7 Piast Gliwice 7 3 1 3 +0 -4.2 10
8 GKS Katowice 6 3 0 3 +3 -1.3 9
9 Pogon Szczecin 6 2 3 1 +3 -1.1 9
10 Zaglebie 6 2 3 1 +1 +0.6 9
11 Cracovia 7 2 2 3 -2 +3.2 8
12 Radomiak Radom 7 2 2 3 -7 -2.9 8
13 Widzew Lodz 7 1 4 2 +0 -0.2 7
14 Slask Wroclaw 8 1 3 4 -3 -0.1 6
15 Motor Lublin 8 1 2 5 -6 -1.0 5
16 Wisla Plock 6 1 2 3 -7 -0.9 5
17 Wieczysta Krakow 6 1 1 4 -4 -0.9 4
18 Rakow 7 1 0 6 -7 -7.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Lech Poznan
26′
🟨 Patrik Wålemark
Jarosław Kubicki 🟨
30′
36′
A. Sayyadmanesh 0–1
37′
🟨 Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
Michal Sáček 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
Paulo Bernardo 🟨
55′
Janis Antiste 🟨
60′
S. Liseth 🔁
↦ P. Bernardo
60′
E. Prekop 🔁
↦ J. Antiste
60′
Y. Ikia Dimi 🔁
↦ Peter Federico
60′
64′
🔁 F. Jagiello
↦ R. Murawski
64′
🔁 L. Bengtsson
↦ A. Sayyadmanesh
72′
🔁 L. Palma
↦ P. Rodriguez
72′
🔁 Y. Agnero
↦ M. Ishak
1–1 E. Prekop
K. Urbanski
76′
Erik Prekop 🟨
80′
2–1 E. Prekop
E. Janza
80′
O. Zmrzly 🔁
↦ E. Janza
83′
L. Sadilek 🔁
↦ K. Urbanski
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

4-2-3-1
1 P. Schulze G
61 M. Sacek D
26 R. Janicki D
20 Josema D
64 E. Janza D
14 J. Kubicki M
8 P. Bernardo M
19 Peter Federico M
82 K. Urbanski M
33 M. Khlan M
9 J. Antiste F
Bench (10)
99 T. Loska
4 P. Bochniewicz
21 O. Zmrzly
66 M. Dietz
18 L. Sadilek
6 M. Hojholt
28 B. Donio
23 S. Liseth
11 E. Prekop
7 Y. Ikia Dimi

Coach: Michal Gasparik

Lech Poznan

4-4-2
1 M. Lis G
2 J. Pereira D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
27 W. Monka D
15 M. Gurgul D
10 P. Walemark M
22 R. Murawski M
5 G. Berggren M
17 A. Sayyadmanesh M
9 M. Ishak F
21 P. Rodriguez F
Bench (8)
33 M. Pruchniewski
4 J. Moutinho
59 T. Yegbe
20 R. Gumny
77 L. Palma
24 F. Jagiello
14 L. Bengtsson
7 Y. Agnero

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,80
U
3,44
B
2,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,18
U1,5
4,50
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,20
O3,5
2,53
U3,5 ✓
1,50
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,52
BLS nei
2,38

Referee

Wojciech Myc · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
31,5 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.