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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Damian Kos

Lech Poznan

S S U S S

1–0

Full-time

Rakow

T U T T T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Rakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

4,5

3,8

Scored

3,7

1,5

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+2,8

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

80%

Points per game

2,6

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 90%

80%

100%

Both score Ø 80%

60%

100%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,8

2,6

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,37 xG 0,40

52% Possession 48%

28 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 1

10 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 3. · Rakow 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	7	4	3	0	+9	+4.6	15
2	Gornik Zabrze	6	5	0	1	+5	+0.6	15
3	Lech Poznan	5	4	1	0	+6	+3.4	13
4	Wisla	7	3	2	2	+2	+4.5	11
5	Piast Gliwice	7	3	1	3	+0	-4.2	10
6	GKS Katowice	6	3	0	3	+3	-1.3	9
7	Jagiellonia	5	3	0	2	+2	+2.4	9
8	Korona Kielce	6	2	3	1	+2	-1.9	9
9	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	2	1	+3	-1.1	8
10	Zaglebie	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.6	8
11	Cracovia	7	2	2	3	-2	+3.2	8
12	Radomiak Radom	7	2	2	3	-7	-2.9	8
13	Widzew Lodz	7	1	4	2	+0	-0.2	7
14	Slask Wroclaw	6	1	3	2	-1	-0.6	6
15	Motor Lublin	7	1	2	4	-5	-1.0	5
16	Wisla Plock	5	1	1	3	-7	-0.9	4
17	Wieczysta Krakow	5	1	0	4	-4	-0.9	3
18	Rakow	5	0	0	5	-7	-4.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla	3	3	0	0	+4	+2.1	9
2	Legia	3	2	1	0	+7	+2.0	7
3	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.6	7
4	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.6	7
5	Zaglebie	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.8	7
6	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.5	7
7	GKS Katowice	2	2	0	0	+7	+2.4	6
8	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.0	6
9	Cracovia	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.2	6
10	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.8	5
11	Pogon Szczecin	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.2	4
12	Korona Kielce	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.0	3
13	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
14	Motor Lublin	4	1	0	3	-3	+1.7	3
15	Widzew Lodz	4	0	2	2	-2	+0.2	2
16	Wisla Plock	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.2	1
17	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
18	Rakow	3	0	0	3	-5	-3.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.6	9
2	Legia	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.5	8
3	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.0	6
4	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.7	6
5	Korona Kielce	3	2	0	1	+2	-1.9	6
6	Widzew Lodz	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.4	5
7	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
8	Wieczysta Krakow	4	1	0	3	-3	-0.2	3
9	Piast Gliwice	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.6	3
10	GKS Katowice	4	1	0	3	-4	-3.6	3
11	Wisla Plock	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.1	3
12	Cracovia	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
13	Wisla	4	0	2	2	-2	+2.4	2
14	Motor Lublin	3	0	2	1	-2	-2.7	2
15	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	1	2	-2	+1.2	1
16	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.2	1
17	Radomiak Radom	3	0	1	2	-7	-2.4	1
18	Rakow	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.