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Allsvenskan

Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim

Hammarby

T T T S S

4–0

Full-time

Degerfors

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 36%

54%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

54%

50%

Both score Ø 56%

54%

58%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,39 xG 0,71

64% Possession 36%

22 Shots 8

11 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 2

0 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hammarby 2. · Degerfors 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	12	10	2	0	+18	+8.2	32
2	Hammarby	13	7	2	4	+14	+8.9	23
3	AIK	13	6	3	4	+0	-7.4	21
4	Hacken	12	5	5	2	+3	+3.8	20
5	Djurgarden	11	6	1	4	+11	+5.1	19
6	Malmo FF	12	6	1	5	+5	+3.6	19
7	GAIS	14	5	4	5	+4	+2.1	19
8	Vasteras SK	13	5	4	4	-1	-3.0	19
9	Elfsborg	13	4	6	3	+3	+0.5	18
10	Mjallby	13	4	5	4	+2	+2.8	17
11	Brommapojkarna	13	4	4	5	-3	-6.0	16
12	Kalmar	12	4	1	7	-3	+2.3	13
13	Goteborg	13	3	4	6	-13	+1.7	13
14	Degerfors	12	2	4	6	-7	-6.1	10
15	Orgryte	12	2	3	7	-17	-6.4	9
16	Halmstad	12	1	3	8	-16	-10.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	7	5	1	1	+17	+7.4	16
2	Sirius	6	5	1	0	+9	+5.9	16
3	GAIS	7	4	2	1	+9	+0.1	14
4	Kalmar	6	4	1	1	+6	+1.1	13
5	Elfsborg	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.3	12
6	Hacken	6	3	2	1	+1	+2.3	11
7	Djurgarden	7	3	1	3	+7	+3.0	10
8	Malmo FF	6	3	0	3	+6	+4.3	9
9	AIK	6	3	0	3	-2	-1.4	9
10	Mjallby	6	2	1	3	+1	+3.6	7
11	Vasteras SK	6	1	3	2	+0	-0.2	6
12	Orgryte	6	1	3	2	-1	-0.9	6
13	Brommapojkarna	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.4	5
14	Goteborg	6	1	2	3	-3	+4.2	5
15	Halmstad	6	1	2	3	-5	-5.5	5
16	Degerfors	7	1	2	4	-7	-6.3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	6	5	1	0	+9	+2.2	16
2	Vasteras SK	7	4	1	2	-1	-2.8	13
3	AIK	7	3	3	1	+2	-6.0	12
4	Brommapojkarna	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
5	Mjallby	7	2	4	1	+1	-0.8	10
6	Malmo FF	6	3	1	2	-1	-0.7	10
7	Djurgarden	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.1	9
8	Hacken	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.5	9
9	Goteborg	7	2	2	3	-10	-2.5	8
10	Hammarby	6	2	1	3	-3	+1.5	7
11	Elfsborg	6	1	3	2	-1	+0.8	6
12	Degerfors	5	1	2	2	+0	+0.2	5
13	GAIS	7	1	2	4	-5	+2.1	5
14	Orgryte	6	1	0	5	-16	-5.5	3
15	Halmstad	6	0	1	5	-11	-4.5	1
16	Kalmar	6	0	0	6	-9	+1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.