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Allsvenskan
Referee: Victor Wolf
Hammarby
T U S T S
2–0
Full-time
GAIS
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby GAIS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
59%
35%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
59%
35%
Both score Ø 44%
47%
41%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,4
1,2
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,00 xG 1,01
66% Possession 34%
28 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 1
9 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 2. · GAIS 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 18 13 3 2 +21 +10.6 42
2 Hammarby 17 10 3 4 +25 +16.4 33
3 Hacken 18 8 7 3 +6 +9.2 31
4 Elfsborg 18 7 7 4 +6 -1.1 28
5 AIK 17 8 4 5 +0 -10.9 28
6 Djurgarden 16 8 2 6 +15 +5.8 26
7 Malmo FF 17 8 2 7 +5 +3.1 26
8 Vasteras SK 18 7 5 6 -7 -1.4 26
9 GAIS 17 6 5 6 +5 +4.7 23
10 Brommapojkarna 17 5 6 6 -2 -5.4 21
11 Mjallby 16 5 5 6 +1 +1.7 20
12 Goteborg 18 5 5 8 -16 +0.0 20
13 Kalmar 18 5 4 9 -7 -1.2 19
14 Degerfors 17 4 4 9 -10 -8.2 16
15 Orgryte 18 3 5 10 -19 -10.2 14
16 Halmstad 18 1 5 12 -23 -13.3 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby GAIS
1–0 V. Lind
6′
2–0 P. Abraham
V. Lind
11′
43′
🟨 Henry Sletsjoe
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 O. Pettersson
↦ M. Andersson
58′
🔁 D. Collander
↦ R. Thorkelsson
58′
🔁 N. Vasic
↦ S. Salter
T. Tekie 🔁
↦ O. Johansson
66′
71′
🔁 S. Jorgensen
↦ R. Niklasson
76′
🟨 Matteo de Brienne
O. Steinke 🔁
↦ A. Boudri
84′
S. Kebbeh 🔁
↦ P. Abraham
84′
84′
🔁 M. Bawa
↦ W. Milovanovic
W. Renecke 🔁
↦ F. Winther
92′
I. Fofana 🔁
↦ M. Madjed
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
2 H. Skoglund D
4 V. Eriksson D
3 F. Winther D
16 N. Persson D
11 O. Johansson M
8 M. Karlsson M
17 A. Boudri M
26 M. Madjed F
7 P. Abraham F
9 V. Lind F
Bench (9)
27 F. Jakobsson
24 W. Renecke
6 I. Fofana
31 O. Steinke
20 N. Besara
5 T. Tekie
45 Filip Jakobsson
15 O. Hagen
30 S. Kebbeh

Coach: Kalle Karlsson

GAIS

4-3-3
1 M. Krasniqi G
6 A. Wangberg D
22 A. Cardaklija D
4 O. Agren D
2 M. de Brienne D
8 W. Milovanovic M
10 H. Sletsjoe M
17 R. Thorkelsson M
16 M. Andersson F
20 S. Salter F
11 R. Niklasson F
Bench (9)
33 A. Hermansen
12 R. Frej
24 F. Beckman
34 D. Collander
27 M. Bawa
26 B. Asumang
21 N. Vasic
32 O. Pettersson
14 S. Jorgensen

Coach: Fredrik Holmberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Victor Wolf · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.