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Allsvenskan
Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim
Hammarby
S U S U T
1–0
Full-time
Degerfors
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Degerfors
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,3
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 48%
55%
40%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
45%
60%
Both score Ø 53%
45%
60%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,00 xG 0,68
70% Possession 30%
13 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 4. · Degerfors 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 12 8 3 1 +14 +0.8 27
2 AIK 12 7 5 0 +8 +1.0 26
3 Elfsborg 11 8 1 2 +12 +6.5 25
4 Hammarby 11 6 3 2 +11 +7.4 21
5 Malmo FF 12 5 4 3 +6 +8.7 19
6 Goteborg 11 5 1 5 -2 -0.0 16
7 GAIS 11 3 6 2 +2 +3.4 15
8 Hacken 11 4 3 4 -1 +1.5 15
9 Norrkoping 11 4 2 5 +0 -4.1 14
10 Degerfors 10 4 1 5 -3 -0.7 13
11 Djurgarden 10 3 3 4 -6 -1.0 12
12 Brommapojkarna 10 3 1 6 -3 +0.4 10
13 Halmstad 11 3 1 7 -15 -8.4 10
14 Sirius 11 2 3 6 -5 -6.1 9
15 Oster 11 2 2 7 -7 -5.0 8
16 Varnamo 11 0 3 8 -11 -4.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Degerfors
6′
🔁 E. Lindell
↦ L. Hien
Half-time 0–0
S. Tounekti 🔁
↦ H. Skoglund
46′
Pavle Vagić 🟨
47′
1–0 N. Besara
T. Tekie
61′
68′
🔁 T. Gronborg
↦ N. Girmai
68′
🔁 M. Lundgren
↦ E. Pihlstrom
J. Karlsson 🔁
↦ P. Abraham
69′
J. Erabi 🔁
↦ A. Boudah
81′
I. Fofana 🔁
↦ M. Madjed
81′
86′
🔁 A. Heden
↦ M. Diaby
Sebastian Tounekti 🟨
88′
S. Strand 🔁
↦ N. Besara
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
2 H. Skoglund D
4 V. Eriksson D
6 P. Vagic D
19 S. Pinas D
8 M. Karlsson M
5 T. Tekie M
20 N. Besara M
26 M. Madjed F
23 A. Boudah F
7 P. Abraham F
Bench (9)
27 F. Jakobsson
9 J. Erabi
13 J. Karlsson
15 A. Lahdo
17 I. Fofana
18 S. Tounekti
21 S. Strand
22 J. Ortmark
29 M. Kabore

Coach: Kim Alexander Hellberg

Degerfors

5-3-2
25 R. Forsell G
16 S. Ohlsson D
4 L. Hien D
15 N. Moro D
7 S. Ohlsson D
2 M. Diaby D
8 N. Girmai M
11 C. Gravius M
20 E. Barsoum M
21 E. Pihlstrom F
19 O. Faraj F
Bench (8)
1 W. Jakobsson
12 E. Lindell
17 L. Kassi
18 T. Gronborg
22 M. Lundgren
23 A. Heden
24 H. Smedberg
27 Z. Salifu

Coach: Henok Goitom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mohammed Al-Hakim · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.