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Allsvenskan

Referee: Glenn Nyberg

AIK

U T S S S

3–2

Full-time

Hammarby

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Hammarby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 17/18 matches

Win Ø 54%

47%

61%

Points per game

1,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

65%

56%

Both score Ø 55%

65%

44%

Average goals

2,9

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,91 xG 4,26

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 32

6 Shots on target 12

1 Blocked shots 9

10 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AIK 7. · Hammarby 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	18	13	3	2	+21	+10.6	42
2	Hammarby	18	11	3	4	+27	+18.4	36
3	Elfsborg	19	8	7	4	+8	+0.2	31
4	Hacken	19	8	7	4	+4	+9.1	31
5	Djurgarden	17	9	2	6	+18	+5.8	29
6	Vasteras SK	19	8	5	6	-5	-1.3	29
7	AIK	17	8	4	5	+0	-10.9	28
8	Malmo FF	18	8	2	8	+2	+3.1	26
9	Brommapojkarna	18	6	6	6	+0	-4.5	24
10	GAIS	18	6	5	7	+3	+2.7	23
11	Mjallby	16	5	5	6	+1	+1.7	20
12	Goteborg	18	5	5	8	-16	+0.0	20
13	Kalmar	19	5	4	10	-8	-0.6	19
14	Degerfors	19	4	4	11	-14	-10.4	16
15	Orgryte	18	3	5	10	-19	-10.2	14
16	Halmstad	19	2	5	12	-22	-13.9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	10	8	1	1	+26	+12.0	25
2	Sirius	9	6	2	1	+9	+6.2	20
3	Elfsborg	10	5	3	2	+7	-0.2	18
4	Kalmar	9	5	2	2	+3	-2.5	17
5	Hacken	10	4	4	2	+0	+6.4	16
6	GAIS	9	4	3	2	+8	+2.7	15
7	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+11	+3.8	13
8	Vasteras SK	9	3	4	2	+3	+1.4	13
9	Brommapojkarna	9	3	3	3	+2	-2.8	12
10	Goteborg	9	3	3	3	+0	+4.2	12
11	Mjallby	8	3	1	4	+1	+2.6	10
12	Malmo FF	9	3	0	6	+1	+4.6	9
13	AIK	7	3	0	4	-5	-1.4	9
14	Orgryte	9	1	5	3	-2	-0.9	8
15	Degerfors	9	2	2	5	-5	-5.7	8
16	Halmstad	10	2	2	6	-10	-6.4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	9	7	1	1	+12	+4.5	22
2	AIK	10	5	4	1	+5	-9.4	19
3	Malmo FF	9	5	2	2	+1	-1.5	17
4	Djurgarden	8	5	1	2	+7	+2.1	16
5	Vasteras SK	10	5	1	4	-8	-2.7	16
6	Hacken	9	4	3	2	+4	+2.7	15
7	Elfsborg	9	3	4	2	+1	+0.4	13
8	Brommapojkarna	9	3	3	3	-2	-1.6	12
9	Hammarby	8	3	2	3	+1	+6.4	11
10	Mjallby	8	2	4	2	+0	-0.8	10
11	GAIS	9	2	2	5	-5	+0.1	8
12	Degerfors	10	2	2	6	-9	-4.7	8
13	Goteborg	9	2	2	5	-16	-4.2	8
14	Orgryte	9	2	0	7	-17	-9.3	6
15	Halmstad	9	0	3	6	-12	-7.5	3
16	Kalmar	10	0	2	8	-11	+1.9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.