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Allsvenskan
Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim
Hammarby
S S S T U
3–1
Full-time
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Brommapojkarna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 45%
55%
35%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
55%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 5
16 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 3. · Brommapojkarna 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 20 14 3 3 +21 +10.6 45
2 Djurgarden 20 12 2 6 +25 +4.7 38
3 Hammarby 20 11 4 5 +26 +20.8 37
4 Hacken 21 8 9 4 +4 +9.1 33
5 AIK 20 9 5 6 -2 -13.9 32
6 Vasteras SK 21 9 5 7 -3 -1.3 32
7 Elfsborg 20 8 7 5 +7 +0.2 31
8 Malmo FF 20 9 3 8 +3 +3.9 30
9 Goteborg 21 8 5 8 -11 +2.1 29
10 GAIS 20 7 6 7 +7 +4.6 27
11 Brommapojkarna 20 7 6 7 -3 -6.3 27
12 Mjallby 20 5 6 9 -8 +0.7 21
13 Kalmar 20 5 4 11 -9 +0.6 19
14 Degerfors 20 5 4 11 -12 -10.4 19
15 Orgryte 20 3 6 11 -20 -11.2 15
16 Halmstad 21 2 5 14 -25 -13.9 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Brommapojkarna
1–0 Paulos Abraham
Victor Lind
8′
29′
Mads Hansen 1–1
Oliver Zandén
Half-time 2–1
2–1 markus karlsson
Montader Madjed
46′
3–1 Frederik Franck Winther
Victor Lind
56′
61′
🔁 David Isso
↦ Anton Kurochkin
ibrahima fofana breze 🟨
64′
Oscar Johansson 🔁
↦ Frank Junior Adjei
64′
Nahir Besara 🔁
↦ Oscar Steinke Brånby
64′
79′
🔁 bidemi amole
↦ Pavle Vagic
79′
🔁 Obilor Okeke
↦ Kaare Barslund
80′
🔁 Rasmus Bergvall
↦ Rasmus Örqvist
Tesfaldet Tekie 🔁
↦ Montader Madjed
82′
Oliver Jordan Hagen 🔁
↦ Oscar Johansson
89′
Suwaibou Kebbeh 🔁
↦ Paulos Abraham
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-2-3-1
1 W. Hahn G
2 H. Skoglund D
6 I. Fofana D
3 F. Winther D
16 N. Persson D
28 F. Adjei M
8 M. Karlsson M
26 M. Madjed M
31 O. Steinke M
9 V. Lind M
7 P. Abraham F
Bench (9)
27 F. Jakobsson
24 W. Renecke
4 V. Eriksson
11 O. Johansson
20 N. Besara
5 T. Tekie
45 F. Jakobsson
15 O. Hagen
30 S. Kebbeh

Coach: Kalle Karlsson

Brommapojkarna

5-4-1
1 L. Cavallius G
11 R. Orqvist D
4 O. Cotton D
2 P. Vagic D
3 A. Troelsen D
6 O. Zanden D
9 M. Hansen M
27 K. Barslund M
21 S. Strand M
17 A. Kurochkin M
20 W. Odefalk F
Bench (9)
25 D. Blazevic
22 R. Bergvall
23 J. Simpson
30 L. Bjorklund
24 M. Derbali
14 K. Sever
7 O. Okeke
34 D. Isso
12 B. Amole

Coach: Ulf Kristiansson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,18
U
7,00
B
11,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,07
U1,5
7,11
O2,5 ✓
1,30
U2,5
3,40
O3,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5
2,00
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,73
BLS nei
2,00

Referee

Mohammed Al-Hakim · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.