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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Piotr Rzucidlo

Jagiellonia

S U S S U

2–0

Full-time

Lechia Gdansk

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Lechia Gdansk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

4,8

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

1,0

2,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 46%

75%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 79%

75%

83%

Average goals

4,8

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

2,3

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 5. · Lechia Gdansk 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	7	5	1	1	+6	+6.2	16
2	Gornik Zabrze	7	4	0	3	+5	-0.2	12
3	Cracovia	6	3	2	1	+3	+2.5	11
4	Korona Kielce	7	3	2	2	+3	-2.1	11
5	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+1	-2.5	9
6	Radomiak Radom	7	2	2	3	+1	-0.1	8
7	Nieciecza	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.2	8
8	Motor Lublin	6	2	2	2	-3	-1.0	8
9	Arka Gdynia	7	2	2	3	-3	-3.8	8
10	Legia	4	2	1	1	+3	+3.6	7
11	Widzew Lodz	6	2	1	3	+1	+2.2	7
12	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	-1	+3.4	7
13	Pogon Szczecin	6	2	1	3	-4	+2.0	7
14	GKS Katowice	7	2	1	4	-5	-5.4	7
15	Zaglebie	6	1	3	2	+2	+0.7	6
16	Rakow	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.3	6
17	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	2	3	-5	-4.3	5
18	Piast Gliwice	5	0	3	2	-3	-0.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	4	4	0	0	+6	+5.2	12
2	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+5	+1.2	7
3	GKS Katowice	4	2	1	1	+3	-3.0	7
4	Widzew Lodz	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.1	7
5	Cracovia	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.6	7
6	Arka Gdynia	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.8	7
7	Korona Kielce	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.0	6
8	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.4	6
9	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.5	6
10	Zaglebie	3	1	2	0	+4	+1.2	5
11	Legia	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.3	4
12	Motor Lublin	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
13	Lechia Gdansk	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.2	4
14	Lech Poznan	3	1	1	1	-2	+1.7	4
15	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
16	Piast Gliwice	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.1	1
17	Nieciecza	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.3	1
18	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nieciecza	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.5	7
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+3	-1.7	6
3	Rakow	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.8	6
4	Korona Kielce	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.2	5
5	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.0	4
6	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
7	Pogon Szczecin	4	1	1	2	-4	+1.6	4
8	Motor Lublin	4	1	1	2	-4	-1.9	4
9	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
10	Legia	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
11	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
12	Piast Gliwice	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.8	2
13	Zaglebie	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.5	1
14	Radomiak Radom	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.3	1
15	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-5	-4.2	1
16	Arka Gdynia	4	0	1	3	-5	-2.0	1
17	Widzew Lodz	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.1	0
18	GKS Katowice	3	0	0	3	-8	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.