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Taça de Portugal

Maria da Fonte

T S S T

1–2

Full-time

Brito

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maria da Fonte Brito

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

75%

33%

Both score Ø 29%

25%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Trofense	1	1	0	+4	3
2	O Elvas	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Salgueiros	1	1	0	+2	3
4	Rebordosa	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Vila Real	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Machico	1	1	0	+1	3
8	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Vila Caíz	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Camacha	1	0	1	-1	0
11	Lagoa	1	0	1	-1	0
12	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	-1	0
13	Amora	1	0	1	-1	0
14	Ribeira Brava	1	0	1	-1	0
15	Pontassolense	1	0	1	-2	0
16	Leça	1	0	1	-2	0
17	Lusitânia	1	0	1	-3	0
18	Varzim	1	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Trofense	1	1	0	+4	3
2	Salgueiros	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Rebordosa	1	1	0	+2	3
4	Vila Real	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	+1	3
6	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Vila Caíz	1	1	0	+1	3
8	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	-1	0
9	Lusitânia	1	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	O Elvas	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Machico	1	1	0	+1	3
3	Camacha	1	0	1	-1	0
4	Lagoa	1	0	1	-1	0
5	Amora	1	0	1	-1	0
6	Ribeira Brava	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Pontassolense	1	0	1	-2	0
8	Leça	1	0	1	-2	0
9	Varzim	1	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.