OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lyn
Odd
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lillestrom
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | +38 | 53 |
| 2 |
Start
|
21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | +18 | 41 |
| 3 |
Sogndal
|
21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | +7 | 35 |
| 4 |
Aalesund
|
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | +10 | 32 |
| 5 |
Lyn
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 31 |
| 6 |
Kongsvinger
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | +7 | 31 |
| 7 |
Egersund
|
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | +0 | 29 |
| 8 |
Raufoss
|
21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | +0 | 26 |
| 9 |
Ranheim
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 |
Asane
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | -5 | 25 |
| 11 |
Moss
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -10 | 25 |
| 12 |
hodd
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -10 | 24 |
| 13 |
Odd
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -3 | 23 |
| 14 |
Stabaek
|
21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -12 | 17 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -24 | 15 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
21 | 1 | 8 | 12 | -16 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.