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Süper Lig
Referee: A D Kayatepe
Trabzonspor
U S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Samsunspor
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Samsunspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,56 xG 0,98
55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 2. · Samsunspor 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 4 4 0 0 +12 +8.6 12
2 Trabzonspor 3 3 0 0 +3 +2.3 9
3 Goztep 4 2 2 0 +5 +0.6 8
4 Konyaspor 3 2 1 0 +6 -0.1 7
5 Fenerbahce 3 2 1 0 +4 +3.2 7
6 Samsunspor 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.8 6
7 Antalyaspor 4 2 0 2 +0 -1.3 6
8 Gaziantep 4 2 0 2 -4 -2.7 6
9 Eyüpspor 4 1 1 2 -3 -2.6 4
10 Karagumruk 3 1 0 2 -4 -3.2 3
11 Buyuksehyr 2 0 2 0 +0 +0.6 2
12 Kayserispor 3 0 2 1 -4 -3.8 2
13 Alanyaspor 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.0 1
14 Kocaelispor 4 0 1 3 -4 -0.8 1
15 Rizespor 3 0 1 2 -5 +0.6 1
16 Kasimpasa 3 0 0 3 -3 -0.8 0
17 Genclerbirligi 4 0 0 4 -5 -2.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Samsunspor
1–0 P. Onuachu
O. Zubkov
16′
Paul Onuachu 🟨
24′
A. Bosluk 🔁
↦ W. Pina
27′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Gonul
↦ L. Tomasson
O. Tufan 🔁
↦ Felipe Augusto
62′
Paul Onuachu ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
64′
64′
🟨 Zeki Yavru
65′
🔁 C. Holse
↦ E. Kilinc
65′
🔁 A. Sousa
↦ Y. E. Cift
79′
🔁 J. Mendes
↦ Z. Yavru
D. Sikan 🔁
↦ P. Onuachu
82′
C. Canak 🔁
↦ O. Zubkov
82′
84′
🔁 S. Aydogdu
↦ A. Makoumbou
88′
Marius 1–1
93′
🟨 Rick Van Drongelen
96′
🟨 Marius Mouandilmadji
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-4-2
1 U. Cakir G
20 W. Pina D
15 S. Savic D
44 A. Batagov D
19 M. Eskihellac D
22 O. Zubkov M
5 O. Yokuslu M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
70 K. Olaigbe M
99 Felipe Augusto F
30 P. Onuachu F
Bench (10)
88 A. Yildirim
7 E. Visca
11 O. Tufan
14 D. Sikan
23 R. Baniya
29 S. Saatci
61 C. Canak
74 S. Malkocoglu
77 A. Bosluk
80 B. Baskan

Coach: Fatih Tekke

Samsunspor

4-1-4-1
1 O. Kocuk G
18 Z. Yavru D
37 L. Satka D
4 R. Van Drongelen D
17 L. Tomasson D
55 Y. E. Cift M
23 A. Musaba M
29 A. Makoumbou M
10 O. Ntcham M
11 E. Kilinc M
9 Marius
Bench (10)
12 A. Posiadala
24 T. Borevkovic
2 J. Mendes
28 S. Gonul
8 S. Aydogdu
5 C. Yuksel
21 C. Holse
77 A. Sousa
22 P. Yaldir
14 L. Dimata

Coach: Thorsten Fink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,75
U ✓
3,63
B
4,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A D Kayatepe · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.