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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Chiffi

Genoa

U T S S U

0–1

Full-time

Juventus

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Juventus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

0,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,55 xG 1,03

44% Possession 56%

10 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 13. · Juventus 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.9	6
2	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.3	6
3	Roma	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.2	6
4	Inter	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.7	3
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
6	Milan	2	1	0	1	+1	+3.3	3
7	Como	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.7	3
8	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
9	Atalanta	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.4	2
10	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
12	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
13	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
14	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.9	1
15	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.5	1
16	Parma	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.9	1
17	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.7	1
18	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
19	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.8	0
20	Torino	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.7	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
3	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
4	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
6	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
7	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
8	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
9	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
10	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
12	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
13	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
14	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
15	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
16	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
2	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
3	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.7	3
4	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
6	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
7	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
8	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
9	Lecce	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
10	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
11	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
12	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
13	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
14	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
15	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
16	Torino	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.